Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader consensus for California's 28th Congressional District House race at 89.5%, reflecting the seat's strong D+14 to D+15 partisan lean and her 65%-35% general election win over Republican April Verlato in 2024. Primary filings closed March 6 with Chu facing Democrat Peter Roybal and a rematch bid from Verlato, positioning a likely top-two matchup under California's nonpartisan primary system ahead of the June 2 vote and November 3 general. The district remains focused on recovery from January's Eaton Fire, which destroyed thousands of structures near Altadena, bolstering Chu's incumbency advantage amid ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent major scandals or shifts, historical precedents favor a Democratic hold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$49,035 Vol.
$49,035 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
$49,035 Vol.
$49,035 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$22,164 Vol.
90%
共和党
$26,871 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader consensus for California's 28th Congressional District House race at 89.5%, reflecting the seat's strong D+14 to D+15 partisan lean and her 65%-35% general election win over Republican April Verlato in 2024. Primary filings closed March 6 with Chu facing Democrat Peter Roybal and a rematch bid from Verlato, positioning a likely top-two matchup under California's nonpartisan primary system ahead of the June 2 vote and November 3 general. The district remains focused on recovery from January's Eaton Fire, which destroyed thousands of structures near Altadena, bolstering Chu's incumbency advantage amid ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent major scandals or shifts, historical precedents favor a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$49,035終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader consensus for California's 28th Congressional District House race at 89.5%, reflecting the seat's strong D+14 to D+15 partisan lean and her 65%-35% general election win over Republican April Verlato in 2024. Primary filings closed March 6 with Chu facing Democrat Peter Roybal and a rematch bid from Verlato, positioning a likely top-two matchup under California's nonpartisan primary system ahead of the June 2 vote and November 3 general. The district remains focused on recovery from January's Eaton Fire, which destroyed thousands of structures near Altadena, bolstering Chu's incumbency advantage amid ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent major scandals or shifts, historical precedents favor a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$49,035終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader consensus for California's 28th Congressional District House race at 89.5%, reflecting the seat's strong D+14 to D+15 partisan lean and her 65%-35% general election win over Republican April Verlato in 2024. Primary filings closed March 6 with Chu facing Democrat Peter Roybal and a rematch bid from Verlato, positioning a likely top-two matchup under California's nonpartisan primary system ahead of the June 2 vote and November 3 general. The district remains focused on recovery from January's Eaton Fire, which destroyed thousands of structures near Altadena, bolstering Chu's incumbency advantage amid ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent major scandals or shifts, historical precedents favor a Democratic hold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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