Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 7th congressional district and faces a Republican opponent in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its partisan composition, with Democratic voter registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 60 percent for the incumbent. The market's 96.6 percent probability for a Democratic winner reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in polling or registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as a health-related withdrawal by Matsui or an unusually strong national Republican wave affecting turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,129 Vol.
97%
共和党
$2,880 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 7th congressional district and faces a Republican opponent in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its partisan composition, with Democratic voter registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 60 percent for the incumbent. The market's 96.6 percent probability for a Democratic winner reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in polling or registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as a health-related withdrawal by Matsui or an unusually strong national Republican wave affecting turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$7,009終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 7th congressional district and faces a Republican opponent in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its partisan composition, with Democratic voter registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 60 percent for the incumbent. The market's 96.6 percent probability for a Democratic winner reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in polling or registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as a health-related withdrawal by Matsui or an unusually strong national Republican wave affecting turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,009終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary in the 7th congressional district and faces a Republican opponent in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its partisan composition, with Democratic voter registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 60 percent for the incumbent. The market's 96.6 percent probability for a Democratic winner reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in polling or registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as a health-related withdrawal by Matsui or an unusually strong national Republican wave affecting turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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