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Fed Decision in June?
$31M Vol.
$2M today
$4M Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
98%
No change
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$27M Vol.
$218K today
$1M Liq.
74
Ends in 8 months
70%
0 (0 bps)
Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?
$200K Vol.
$98.1K today
$70.7K Liq.
19
99%
June 30
Fed Decision in July?
$6M Vol.
$68.5K today
$742K Liq.
Ends in 2 months
94%
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
$166K Vol.
$67.7K Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15–22
Fed Decision in September?
$14.9K Vol.
$268K Liq.
Ends in 4 months
80%
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$324K Vol.
$29.3K Liq.
14
46%
December 31
Fed rate cut by...?
$2M Vol.
$164K Liq.
17
28%
December Meeting
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
$1M Vol.
$74.4K Liq.
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$60.7K Liq.
Ends in 7 months
32%
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
$15.9K Vol.
$26.5K Liq.
2%
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$17.9K Vol.
$29.9K Liq.
66%
0
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$1.3K Vol.
$75.7K Liq.
81%
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
$49.0K Vol.
$52.1K Liq.
93%
Fed rate hike by...?
$149K Vol.
$62.1K Liq.
Ends in 6 months
25%
October Meeting
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$15.2K Vol.
$8.3K Liq.
18%
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$2.8K Liq.
-
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$158K Vol.
$8.4K Liq.
89%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$105K Vol.
$4.4K Liq.
10%
Fed abolished before 2027?
$4.1K Vol.
$14.9K Liq.
3%
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