Trader consensus locks in 52-53°F as Seattle's highest temperature on March 17, anchored by official NOAA observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recording a peak of 53°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and cool northerly flows. This fits mid-March climatology, with historical highs averaging 54-56°F but frequently capped lower by Pacific moisture influx, as seen in NWS ensemble forecasts predicting low-50s maxima with minimal upside risk. Pre-event model divergence was narrow, reflecting stable barometric patterns. Realistic challenges—a sudden ridge breakdown enabling downslope warming or clear skies boosting insolation—proved unlikely, cementing the market's near-certain positioning absent data revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 17 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 17 mars ?
52-53 °F 100.0%
41°F ou moins <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
41°F ou moins
Non
42-43°F
Non
44-45°F
Non
46-47°F
Non
48-49°F
Non
50-51°F
Non
52-53 °F
Oui
54-55°F
Non
56-57 °F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60°F ou plus
Non
52-53 °F 100.0%
41°F ou moins <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
41°F ou moins
Non
42-43°F
Non
44-45°F
Non
46-47°F
Non
48-49°F
Non
50-51°F
Non
52-53 °F
Oui
54-55°F
Non
56-57 °F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus locks in 52-53°F as Seattle's highest temperature on March 17, anchored by official NOAA observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recording a peak of 53°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and cool northerly flows. This fits mid-March climatology, with historical highs averaging 54-56°F but frequently capped lower by Pacific moisture influx, as seen in NWS ensemble forecasts predicting low-50s maxima with minimal upside risk. Pre-event model divergence was narrow, reflecting stable barometric patterns. Realistic challenges—a sudden ridge breakdown enabling downslope warming or clear skies boosting insolation—proved unlikely, cementing the market's near-certain positioning absent data revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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