Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature March 25 heavily favors 33°C or below at 57.5% implied probability, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a daytime high of 32–33°C amid lingering effects of a recent western disturbance introducing cloud cover and cooler northerly winds. Historical March maxima in Lucknow average 30–32°C, with current model ensembles from IMD and ECMWF aligning below 34°C due to suppressed solar insolation and mild lapse rates. Recent observations show March 24 peaking at 31.2°C, reinforcing bearish odds on hotter outcomes; traders eye IMD's evening update for final resolution criteria based on Safdarjung or Colaba observatory-verified data, tempering risks from urban heat buildup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 25 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 25 mars ?
33°C ou moins 57%
34°C 25%
35°C 13%
36°C 10%
33°C ou moins
57%
34°C
21%
35°C
13%
36°C
10%
37°C
8%
38°C
4%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
2%
43°C ou plus
1%
33°C ou moins 57%
34°C 25%
35°C 13%
36°C 10%
33°C ou moins
57%
34°C
21%
35°C
13%
36°C
10%
37°C
8%
38°C
4%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
2%
43°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature March 25 heavily favors 33°C or below at 57.5% implied probability, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a daytime high of 32–33°C amid lingering effects of a recent western disturbance introducing cloud cover and cooler northerly winds. Historical March maxima in Lucknow average 30–32°C, with current model ensembles from IMD and ECMWF aligning below 34°C due to suppressed solar insolation and mild lapse rates. Recent observations show March 24 peaking at 31.2°C, reinforcing bearish odds on hotter outcomes; traders eye IMD's evening update for final resolution criteria based on Safdarjung or Colaba observatory-verified data, tempering risks from urban heat buildup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes