Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. acquisition of Greenland before 2027 at 91.9% implied probability, driven by Denmark's unwavering rejection of sovereignty transfer and Greenland's self-determination rights as an autonomous territory. President Trump's post-inauguration renewal of interest in January 2026—citing China and Russia threats—escalated to tariff threats against NATO allies and purchase proposals up to $700 billion, but he reversed course at Davos on January 21, pledging no force or economic coercion amid European backlash. Recent U.S. military expansion plans in Greenland (April 2026) focus on basing rights, not ownership, while Denmark's March contingency plans underscored defiance. Diplomatic stalemate and legal barriers under international law sustain the low odds of any deal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$31,119,436 Vol.
$31,119,436 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$31,119,436 Vol.
$31,119,436 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. acquisition of Greenland before 2027 at 91.9% implied probability, driven by Denmark's unwavering rejection of sovereignty transfer and Greenland's self-determination rights as an autonomous territory. President Trump's post-inauguration renewal of interest in January 2026—citing China and Russia threats—escalated to tariff threats against NATO allies and purchase proposals up to $700 billion, but he reversed course at Davos on January 21, pledging no force or economic coercion amid European backlash. Recent U.S. military expansion plans in Greenland (April 2026) focus on basing rights, not ownership, while Denmark's March contingency plans underscored defiance. Diplomatic stalemate and legal barriers under international law sustain the low odds of any deal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$31,119,436End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. acquisition of Greenland before 2027 at 91.9% implied probability, driven by Denmark's unwavering rejection of sovereignty transfer and Greenland's self-determination rights as an autonomous territory. President Trump's post-inauguration renewal of interest in January 2026—citing China and Russia threats—escalated to tariff threats against NATO allies and purchase proposals up to $700 billion, but he reversed course at Davos on January 21, pledging no force or economic coercion amid European backlash. Recent U.S. military expansion plans in Greenland (April 2026) focus on basing rights, not ownership, while Denmark's March contingency plans underscored defiance. Diplomatic stalemate and legal barriers under international law sustain the low odds of any deal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$31,119,555End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. acquisition of Greenland before 2027 at 91.9% implied probability, driven by Denmark's unwavering rejection of sovereignty transfer and Greenland's self-determination rights as an autonomous territory. President Trump's post-inauguration renewal of interest in January 2026—citing China and Russia threats—escalated to tariff threats against NATO allies and purchase proposals up to $700 billion, but he reversed course at Davos on January 21, pledging no force or economic coercion amid European backlash. Recent U.S. military expansion plans in Greenland (April 2026) focus on basing rights, not ownership, while Denmark's March contingency plans underscored defiance. Diplomatic stalemate and legal barriers under international law sustain the low odds of any deal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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