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Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?

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Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$146,958 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$146,958 Vol.

Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson recently announced her intention to move out of the U.S. (see: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson is confirmed to have moved outside of the U.S. by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Temporarily leaving the United States for a vacation or other short term excursions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Vivian Wilson no longer lives in the United Staes, including explicit confirmation from Wilson.

Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson recently announced her intention to move out of the U.S. (see: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson is confirmed to have moved outside of the U.S. by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Temporarily leaving the United States for a vacation or other short term excursions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Vivian Wilson no longer lives in the United Staes, including explicit confirmation from Wilson.
Volume
$146,958
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Nov 7, 2024, 5:01 PM ET
Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson recently announced her intention to move out of the U.S. (see: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson is confirmed to have moved outside of the U.S. by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Temporarily leaving the United States for a vacation or other short term excursions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Vivian Wilson no longer lives in the United Staes, including explicit confirmation from Wilson.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson recently announced her intention to move out of the U.S. (see: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson is confirmed to have moved outside of the U.S. by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Temporarily leaving the United States for a vacation or other short term excursions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Vivian Wilson no longer lives in the United Staes, including explicit confirmation from Wilson.

Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson recently announced her intention to move out of the U.S. (see: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson is confirmed to have moved outside of the U.S. by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Temporarily leaving the United States for a vacation or other short term excursions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Vivian Wilson no longer lives in the United Staes, including explicit confirmation from Wilson.
Volume
$146,958
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Nov 7, 2024, 5:01 PM ET
Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson recently announced her intention to move out of the U.S. (see: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson is confirmed to have moved outside of the U.S. by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Temporarily leaving the United States for a vacation or other short term excursions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Vivian Wilson no longer lives in the United Staes, including explicit confirmation from Wilson.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?" has generated $147K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 7, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.