Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$56,361,174 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 45%

Kevin Hassett 43%

Christopher Waller 3.6%

Scott Bessent 1.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,361,174
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$56,361,174 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 45%

Kevin Hassett 43%

Christopher Waller 3.6%

Scott Bessent 1.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$1,221,061 Vol.

45%

Kevin Hassett

$3,097,856 Vol.

43%

Christopher Waller

$1,247,500 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$1,066,373 Vol.

2%

Rick Rieder

$911,938 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$933,722 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$1,247,628 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$879,505 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,137,383 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$935,366 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$8,791,316 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$655,866 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$522,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,447,828 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,081,657 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$608,906 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,099,945 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,317,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,434,797 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$8,286,398 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$116,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$10,741,177 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$566,246 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$56,361,174
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.