How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
$1,670,222 Vol.
$100–200b 38%
<$100b 34.2%
$200–500b 25%
$2t+ <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<$100b
$459,878 Vol.
34%
<$100b
$459,878 Vol.
34%
$100–200b
$505,880 Vol.
38%
$100–200b
$505,880 Vol.
38%
$200–500b
$245,083 Vol.
25%
$200–500b
$245,083 Vol.
25%
$500b–1t
$222,463 Vol.
1%
$500b–1t
$222,463 Vol.
1%
$1–2t
$133,745 Vol.
<1%
$1–2t
$133,745 Vol.
<1%
$2t+
$103,173 Vol.
1%
$2t+
$103,173 Vol.
1%
Rules
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)
If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)
If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Created At: Apr 15, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC
Volume
$1,670,222End Date
Feb 28, 2026Created At
Apr 15, 2025, 10:26 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$1,670,222 Vol.
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
$100–200b 38%
<$100b 34.2%
$200–500b 25%
$2t+ <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<$100b
$459,878 Vol.
34%
$100–200b
$505,880 Vol.
38%
$200–500b
$245,083 Vol.
25%
$500b–1t
$222,463 Vol.
1%
$1–2t
$133,745 Vol.
<1%
$2t+
$103,173 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$1,670,222End Date
Feb 28, 2026Created At
Apr 15, 2025, 10:26 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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