Market icon

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

$1,701,805 Vol.

<$100b 34.4%

$100–200b 33%

$200–500b 28%

$500b–1t <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)

If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Volume
$1,701,805
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Apr 15, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC
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$1,701,805 Vol.

Market icon

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

<$100b 34.4%

$100–200b 33%

$200–500b 28%

$500b–1t <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<$100b

$482,793 Vol.

34%

$100–200b

$508,680 Vol.

33%

$200–500b

$246,171 Vol.

28%

$500b–1t

$223,177 Vol.

1%

$1–2t

$135,800 Vol.

1%

$2t+

$105,184 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$1,701,805
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Apr 15, 2025, 10:26 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.