Market icon

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

<$100b 77.5%

$200–500b 19%

$100–200b 3.8%

$500b–1t <1%

$3,934,735 Vol.

Rules

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)

If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Volume
$3,934,735
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Apr 15, 2025, 6:26 PM ET
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

<$100b 77.5%

$200–500b 19%

$100–200b 3.8%

$500b–1t <1%

$3,934,735 Vol.

<$100b

$1,117,011 Vol.

77%

$100–200b

$960,193 Vol.

4%

$200–500b

$589,464 Vol.

19%

$500b–1t

$529,547 Vol.

<1%

$1–2t

$387,816 Vol.

<1%

$2t+

$350,704 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$3,934,735
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Apr 15, 2025, 6:26 PM ET

Beware of external links.