US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges before transferring them to the United States for trial. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the role of interim president, with authorities declaring a state of emergency. Since then, the Trump administration has emphasized Venezuelan oil sector access and reconstruction, including ongoing Exxon Mobil negotiations for production rights and partial sanctions relief, while maintaining diplomatic engagement with the interim government. No large-scale US troop deployments have occurred in the intervening months, though regional naval assets and counter-narcotics operations continue. Key variables for further involvement include interim leadership compliance on energy deals, domestic Venezuelan stability, congressional oversight under the War Powers Resolution, and any escalation tied to cartel activity or political transitions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,311,756 Vol.
31 janv. 2026
30 juin
21%
$1,311,756 Vol.
30 juin
$226,994 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges before transferring them to the United States for trial. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the role of interim president, with authorities declaring a state of emergency. Since then, the Trump administration has emphasized Venezuelan oil sector access and reconstruction, including ongoing Exxon Mobil negotiations for production rights and partial sanctions relief, while maintaining diplomatic engagement with the interim government. No large-scale US troop deployments have occurred in the intervening months, though regional naval assets and counter-narcotics operations continue. Key variables for further involvement include interim leadership compliance on energy deals, domestic Venezuelan stability, congressional oversight under the War Powers Resolution, and any escalation tied to cartel activity or political transitions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,311,756Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges before transferring them to the United States for trial. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the role of interim president, with authorities declaring a state of emergency. Since then, the Trump administration has emphasized Venezuelan oil sector access and reconstruction, including ongoing Exxon Mobil negotiations for production rights and partial sanctions relief, while maintaining diplomatic engagement with the interim government. No large-scale US troop deployments have occurred in the intervening months, though regional naval assets and counter-narcotics operations continue. Key variables for further involvement include interim leadership compliance on energy deals, domestic Venezuelan stability, congressional oversight under the War Powers Resolution, and any escalation tied to cartel activity or political transitions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,311,756Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges before transferring them to the United States for trial. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the role of interim president, with authorities declaring a state of emergency. Since then, the Trump administration has emphasized Venezuelan oil sector access and reconstruction, including ongoing Exxon Mobil negotiations for production rights and partial sanctions relief, while maintaining diplomatic engagement with the interim government. No large-scale US troop deployments have occurred in the intervening months, though regional naval assets and counter-narcotics operations continue. Key variables for further involvement include interim leadership compliance on energy deals, domestic Venezuelan stability, congressional oversight under the War Powers Resolution, and any escalation tied to cartel activity or political transitions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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