US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife through strikes on air defenses and special operations forces, marking the primary recent instance of direct US military entry into Venezuela. This followed months of naval buildup, strikes on alleged drug vessels, and intelligence efforts under the Trump administration. Since then, Delcy Rodríguez has served as interim president, political prisoners have been released, US sanctions on oil have eased, and the US Embassy in Caracas has resumed operations as of May 2026. No large-scale additional US troop deployments or strikes inside Venezuela have occurred in the intervening months amid diplomatic stabilization and regional reactions. Trader sentiment on further entries by mid-2026 reflects the completed nature of the initial operation, ongoing US regional posture focused on counternarcotics, and the absence of new triggers for escalation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,308,233 Vol.
31 janv. 2026
30 juin
10%
$1,308,233 Vol.
30 juin
$223,470 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife through strikes on air defenses and special operations forces, marking the primary recent instance of direct US military entry into Venezuela. This followed months of naval buildup, strikes on alleged drug vessels, and intelligence efforts under the Trump administration. Since then, Delcy Rodríguez has served as interim president, political prisoners have been released, US sanctions on oil have eased, and the US Embassy in Caracas has resumed operations as of May 2026. No large-scale additional US troop deployments or strikes inside Venezuela have occurred in the intervening months amid diplomatic stabilization and regional reactions. Trader sentiment on further entries by mid-2026 reflects the completed nature of the initial operation, ongoing US regional posture focused on counternarcotics, and the absence of new triggers for escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,308,233Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife through strikes on air defenses and special operations forces, marking the primary recent instance of direct US military entry into Venezuela. This followed months of naval buildup, strikes on alleged drug vessels, and intelligence efforts under the Trump administration. Since then, Delcy Rodríguez has served as interim president, political prisoners have been released, US sanctions on oil have eased, and the US Embassy in Caracas has resumed operations as of May 2026. No large-scale additional US troop deployments or strikes inside Venezuela have occurred in the intervening months amid diplomatic stabilization and regional reactions. Trader sentiment on further entries by mid-2026 reflects the completed nature of the initial operation, ongoing US regional posture focused on counternarcotics, and the absence of new triggers for escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,308,233Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife through strikes on air defenses and special operations forces, marking the primary recent instance of direct US military entry into Venezuela. This followed months of naval buildup, strikes on alleged drug vessels, and intelligence efforts under the Trump administration. Since then, Delcy Rodríguez has served as interim president, political prisoners have been released, US sanctions on oil have eased, and the US Embassy in Caracas has resumed operations as of May 2026. No large-scale additional US troop deployments or strikes inside Venezuela have occurred in the intervening months amid diplomatic stabilization and regional reactions. Trader sentiment on further entries by mid-2026 reflects the completed nature of the initial operation, ongoing US regional posture focused on counternarcotics, and the absence of new triggers for escalation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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