Tensions in Venezuela escalated after the July 28, 2024, presidential election, where Nicolás Maduro claimed victory amid opposition allegations of fraud backed by international observers and the US government, prompting fresh US sanctions on regime officials and entities. The Biden administration has prioritized diplomatic pressure, regional mediation by Brazil and Colombia, and support for opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia, while rejecting military intervention amid no official announcements of US troop deployments. US forces maintain a presence in neighboring Colombia for counter-narcotics operations, but crossing into Venezuela would mark a major escalation without congressional authorization or regional support. Traders eye upcoming OAS and UN discussions, potential protests, and Maduro's response as key catalysts, though historical US restraint in Latin America suggests low near-term risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$1,255,372 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
31 mars
3%
30 juin
15%
$1,255,372 Vol.
31 mars
$1,941 Vol.
3%
30 juin
$173,342 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions in Venezuela escalated after the July 28, 2024, presidential election, where Nicolás Maduro claimed victory amid opposition allegations of fraud backed by international observers and the US government, prompting fresh US sanctions on regime officials and entities. The Biden administration has prioritized diplomatic pressure, regional mediation by Brazil and Colombia, and support for opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia, while rejecting military intervention amid no official announcements of US troop deployments. US forces maintain a presence in neighboring Colombia for counter-narcotics operations, but crossing into Venezuela would mark a major escalation without congressional authorization or regional support. Traders eye upcoming OAS and UN discussions, potential protests, and Maduro's response as key catalysts, though historical US restraint in Latin America suggests low near-term risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,255,372Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions in Venezuela escalated after the July 28, 2024, presidential election, where Nicolás Maduro claimed victory amid opposition allegations of fraud backed by international observers and the US government, prompting fresh US sanctions on regime officials and entities. The Biden administration has prioritized diplomatic pressure, regional mediation by Brazil and Colombia, and support for opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia, while rejecting military intervention amid no official announcements of US troop deployments. US forces maintain a presence in neighboring Colombia for counter-narcotics operations, but crossing into Venezuela would mark a major escalation without congressional authorization or regional support. Traders eye upcoming OAS and UN discussions, potential protests, and Maduro's response as key catalysts, though historical US restraint in Latin America suggests low near-term risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,255,372Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions in Venezuela escalated after the July 28, 2024, presidential election, where Nicolás Maduro claimed victory amid opposition allegations of fraud backed by international observers and the US government, prompting fresh US sanctions on regime officials and entities. The Biden administration has prioritized diplomatic pressure, regional mediation by Brazil and Colombia, and support for opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia, while rejecting military intervention amid no official announcements of US troop deployments. US forces maintain a presence in neighboring Colombia for counter-narcotics operations, but crossing into Venezuela would mark a major escalation without congressional authorization or regional support. Traders eye upcoming OAS and UN discussions, potential protests, and Maduro's response as key catalysts, though historical US restraint in Latin America suggests low near-term risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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