Recent U.S. commercial crude oil inventories surged unexpectedly by 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million barrels for the week ended August 7, marking the largest weekly build in over three years amid a sharp drop in exports to 3.06 million barrels per day and elevated net imports. This reversed the prior downward trajectory that had kept stocks below the five-year average, as noted in the EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook. The next weekly EIA release on August 19 and subsequent data through late August will directly inform market-implied probabilities for any further decline by August 28. Traders are weighing ongoing refinery throughput, seasonal demand patterns, and export dynamics against the recent supply-side surprise that has shifted near-term inventory momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$50,371 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
285M
63%
270 M
2%
255M
1%
240M
1%
225 M
1%
$50,371 Vol.
285M
$29,072 Vol.
63%
270 M
$7,805 Vol.
2%
255M
$4,796 Vol.
1%
240M
$1,547 Vol.
1%
225 M
$855 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.Recent U.S. commercial crude oil inventories surged unexpectedly by 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million barrels for the week ended August 7, marking the largest weekly build in over three years amid a sharp drop in exports to 3.06 million barrels per day and elevated net imports. This reversed the prior downward trajectory that had kept stocks below the five-year average, as noted in the EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook. The next weekly EIA release on August 19 and subsequent data through late August will directly inform market-implied probabilities for any further decline by August 28. Traders are weighing ongoing refinery throughput, seasonal demand patterns, and export dynamics against the recent supply-side surprise that has shifted near-term inventory momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$50,371Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.Recent U.S. commercial crude oil inventories surged unexpectedly by 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million barrels for the week ended August 7, marking the largest weekly build in over three years amid a sharp drop in exports to 3.06 million barrels per day and elevated net imports. This reversed the prior downward trajectory that had kept stocks below the five-year average, as noted in the EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook. The next weekly EIA release on August 19 and subsequent data through late August will directly inform market-implied probabilities for any further decline by August 28. Traders are weighing ongoing refinery throughput, seasonal demand patterns, and export dynamics against the recent supply-side surprise that has shifted near-term inventory momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Volume
$50,371Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. commercial crude oil inventories surged unexpectedly by 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million barrels for the week ended August 7, marking the largest weekly build in over three years amid a sharp drop in exports to 3.06 million barrels per day and elevated net imports. This reversed the prior downward trajectory that had kept stocks below the five-year average, as noted in the EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook. The next weekly EIA release on August 19 and subsequent data through late August will directly inform market-implied probabilities for any further decline by August 28. Traders are weighing ongoing refinery throughput, seasonal demand patterns, and export dynamics against the recent supply-side surprise that has shifted near-term inventory momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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