The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in November 2024 on charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to operations in Gaza. As of August 2026, no enforcement has occurred despite the warrant remaining active. Netanyahu has continued international travel, including a planned September appearance at the UN General Assembly in New York. U.S. President Trump publicly stated that no arrest would take place on American soil, while New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani urged federal action but acknowledged lacking independent authority. ICC member states such as Hungary have faced calls to act on prior visits without resulting in detention. Trader odds reflect these enforcement barriers and the limited number of jurisdictions willing or able to execute the warrant in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$19,038 Vol.
30 septembre
2%
31 décembre
6%
$19,038 Vol.
30 septembre
2%
31 décembre
6%
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in November 2024 on charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to operations in Gaza. As of August 2026, no enforcement has occurred despite the warrant remaining active. Netanyahu has continued international travel, including a planned September appearance at the UN General Assembly in New York. U.S. President Trump publicly stated that no arrest would take place on American soil, while New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani urged federal action but acknowledged lacking independent authority. ICC member states such as Hungary have faced calls to act on prior visits without resulting in detention. Trader odds reflect these enforcement barriers and the limited number of jurisdictions willing or able to execute the warrant in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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