Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Kevin Warsh 56%

Kevin Hassett 18%

Christopher Waller 14.7%

Rick Rieder 8.1%

$206,507,043 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$6,334,897 Vol.
56%

Kevin Hassett
$11,414,584 Vol.
18%

Christopher Waller
$5,050,582 Vol.
15%

Rick Rieder
$4,745,148 Vol.
8%

Scott Bessent
$5,153,806 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$5,560,783 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$4,418,577 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,338,123 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,430,048 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$7,582,948 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,256,488 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,995,434 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,565,034 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,933,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,208,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,015,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,252,263 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,939,201 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$7,815,519 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,575,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,604,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,664,848 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,547,446 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$3,128,378 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$206,507,043

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 56%

Kevin Hassett 18%

Christopher Waller 14.7%

Rick Rieder 8.1%

$206,507,043 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$6,334,897 Vol.

56%

Kevin Hassett

$11,414,584 Vol.

18%

Christopher Waller

$5,050,582 Vol.

15%

Rick Rieder

$4,745,148 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$5,153,806 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$5,560,783 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$4,418,577 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$4,338,123 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$3,430,048 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$7,582,948 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,256,488 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,995,434 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$12,565,034 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,933,202 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,208,600 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,015,671 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,252,263 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,939,201 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,972,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$7,815,519 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,575,254 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,604,791 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,664,848 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,547,446 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$3,128,378 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$206,507,043

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

36%

Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

29%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

98%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$6,334,897 Vol.
56%

Kevin Hassett
$11,414,584 Vol.
18%

Christopher Waller
$5,050,582 Vol.
15%

Rick Rieder
$4,745,148 Vol.
8%

Scott Bessent
$5,153,806 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$5,560,783 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$4,418,577 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,338,123 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,430,048 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$7,582,948 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,256,488 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,995,434 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,565,034 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,933,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,208,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,015,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,252,263 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,939,201 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$7,815,519 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,575,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,604,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,664,848 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,547,446 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$3,128,378 Vol.
<1%

Market Context