Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$71,752,518 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 11.5%

Scott Bessent 2.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$71,752,518
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$71,752,518 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 11.5%

Scott Bessent 2.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,339,353 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$1,890,078 Vol.

22%

Christopher Waller

$1,928,671 Vol.

11%

Scott Bessent

$1,445,765 Vol.

2%

Rick Rieder

$1,223,135 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,504,845 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$1,206,249 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,630,377 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,359,829 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,222,448 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,211,034 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$659,548 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,337,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$763,538 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$569,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,519,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,140,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,266 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$281,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,491,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$11,273,429 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$182,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,125,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$71,752,518
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.