Market icon

Who will Trump appoint as next National Security Advisor?

Market icon

Who will Trump appoint as next National Security Advisor?

Other 100.0%

Michael Flynn <1%

Ezra Cohen <1%

Steve Witkoff <1%

Polymarket

$519,127 Vol.

Other 100.0%

Michael Flynn <1%

Ezra Cohen <1%

Steve Witkoff <1%

Polymarket

$519,127 Vol.

Michael Flynn

$39,967 Vol.

No

Ezra Cohen

$5,107 Vol.

No

Steve Witkoff

$22,104 Vol.

No

Michael Anton

$319,124 Vol.

No

Keith Kellogg

$14,255 Vol.

No

Robert O'Brien

$10,576 Vol.

No

Fred Fleitz

$11,254 Vol.

No

Stephen Miller

$95,174 Vol.

No

Other

$1,566 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the next person Donald Trump appoints to the National Security Advisor position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Trump's first announcement - if Trump announces another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market refers to the first permanent National Security Advisor following Mike Waltz's departure from the role; any acting advisor or otherwise temporary advisor will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$519,127
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
May 2, 2025, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next person Donald Trump appoints to the National Security Advisor position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first announcement - if Trump announces another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market refers to the first permanent National Security Advisor following Mike Waltz's departure from the role; any acting advisor or otherwise temporary advisor will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump appoint as next National Security Advisor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 100%, followed by "Michael Flynn" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump appoint as next National Security Advisor?" has generated $519.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump appoint as next National Security Advisor?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump appoint as next National Security Advisor?" is "Other" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Flynn" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump appoint as next National Security Advisor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.