Market icon

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

Google 68%

xAI 16%

None by June 30 11.9%

OpenAI 3.4%

$295,977 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".

If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Volume
$295,977
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

Google 68%

xAI 16%

None by June 30 11.9%

OpenAI 3.4%

$295,977 Vol.

Market icon

Google

$36,238 Vol.

68%

Market icon

xAI

$19,330 Vol.

16%

Market icon

None by June 30

$15,606 Vol.

12%

Market icon

OpenAI

$27,480 Vol.

3%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$46,025 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Anthropic

$72,565 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Z.ai

$47,411 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$15,927 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$15,395 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$295,977
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET

Beware of external links.