Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
xAI <1%
Meituan <1%
$143,928 Vol.
$143,928 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026

Anthropic
$21,132 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$21,132 Vol.
No

xAI
$19,661 Vol.
No

xAI
$19,661 Vol.
No

Meituan
$10,681 Vol.
No

Meituan
$10,681 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$14,618 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$14,618 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$10,783 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$10,783 Vol.
No

Google
$29,378 Vol.
Yes

$29,378 Vol.
Yes

Z.ai
$9,504 Vol.
No

Z.ai
$9,504 Vol.
No

Mistral
$5,613 Vol.
No

Mistral
$5,613 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$10,455 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$10,455 Vol.
No

Moonshot
$12,104 Vol.
No

Moonshot
$12,104 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$143,928End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
xAI <1%
Meituan <1%
$143,928 Vol.
$143,928 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026

Anthropic
$21,132 Vol.
No

xAI
$19,661 Vol.
No

Meituan
$10,681 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$14,618 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$10,783 Vol.
No

$29,378 Vol.
Yes

Z.ai
$9,504 Vol.
No

Mistral
$5,613 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$10,455 Vol.
No

Moonshot
$12,104 Vol.
No
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Beware of external links.