Which company has best AI model on June 30?
$4,152,259 Vol.
Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
OUTCOMERESULT

Google
$906,676 Vol.
Yes

$906,676 Vol.
Yes

OpenAI
$603,448 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$603,448 Vol.
No

xAI
$773,958 Vol.
No

xAI
$773,958 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$554,352 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$554,352 Vol.
No

Meta
$531,416 Vol.
No

Meta
$531,416 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$403,616 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$403,616 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$378,794 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$378,794 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 31, 2024, 8:51 PM
Volume
$4,152,259End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Dec 31, 2024, 8:51 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$4,152,259 Vol.
Which company has best AI model on June 30?
Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Anthropic <1%

$906,676 Vol.
Yes

OpenAI
$603,448 Vol.
No

xAI
$773,958 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$554,352 Vol.
No

Meta
$531,416 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$403,616 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$378,794 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$4,152,259End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Dec 31, 2024, 8:51 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...


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