Amid the US-Iran conflict entering its second month after Israeli strikes ignited war, indirect diplomatic channels via Oman, Pakistan, and others drive trader focus on potential high-level talks. Pakistan offered yesterday to host US-Iran discussions in Islamabad, following US envoy Steve Witkoff's March 27 statement hinting at meetings this week involving figures like Jared Kushner and Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf. Iran denies direct negotiations, reviews a US 15-point peace proposal sent March 24, and dismisses demands amid President Trump's threats of further military action on oil infrastructure. February Vienna talks yielded no nuclear or missile deal, leaving de-escalation uncertain ahead of possible deadlines like Strait of Hormuz access.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1,110,339 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 31
1%
April 10
17%
April 30
35%
June 30
71%
$1,110,339 Vol.
March 31
$706,596 Vol.
1%
April 10
$13,745 Vol.
17%
April 30
$121,712 Vol.
35%
June 30
$22,694 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the US-Iran conflict entering its second month after Israeli strikes ignited war, indirect diplomatic channels via Oman, Pakistan, and others drive trader focus on potential high-level talks. Pakistan offered yesterday to host US-Iran discussions in Islamabad, following US envoy Steve Witkoff's March 27 statement hinting at meetings this week involving figures like Jared Kushner and Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf. Iran denies direct negotiations, reviews a US 15-point peace proposal sent March 24, and dismisses demands amid President Trump's threats of further military action on oil infrastructure. February Vienna talks yielded no nuclear or missile deal, leaving de-escalation uncertain ahead of possible deadlines like Strait of Hormuz access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,110,339End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the US-Iran conflict entering its second month after Israeli strikes ignited war, indirect diplomatic channels via Oman, Pakistan, and others drive trader focus on potential high-level talks. Pakistan offered yesterday to host US-Iran discussions in Islamabad, following US envoy Steve Witkoff's March 27 statement hinting at meetings this week involving figures like Jared Kushner and Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf. Iran denies direct negotiations, reviews a US 15-point peace proposal sent March 24, and dismisses demands amid President Trump's threats of further military action on oil infrastructure. February Vienna talks yielded no nuclear or missile deal, leaving de-escalation uncertain ahead of possible deadlines like Strait of Hormuz access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,110,339End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the US-Iran conflict entering its second month after Israeli strikes ignited war, indirect diplomatic channels via Oman, Pakistan, and others drive trader focus on potential high-level talks. Pakistan offered yesterday to host US-Iran discussions in Islamabad, following US envoy Steve Witkoff's March 27 statement hinting at meetings this week involving figures like Jared Kushner and Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf. Iran denies direct negotiations, reviews a US 15-point peace proposal sent March 24, and dismisses demands amid President Trump's threats of further military action on oil infrastructure. February Vienna talks yielded no nuclear or missile deal, leaving de-escalation uncertain ahead of possible deadlines like Strait of Hormuz access.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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