Name: US forces in Venezuela by...?
Start: 2025-09-06T21:07:22.606852Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. 

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. 

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31

September 30

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 30, 2025, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. 

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

October 31

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between October 27, 2025, and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. 

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

November 30

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. 

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

January 31

March 31

US forces in Venezuela

US forces in Venezuela by...?

There are no tweets provided for analysis at this time. Please provide relevant social media content to generate a summary and title.

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Market News Update

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No Activity Reported

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Market Update Pending

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No significant events or news have been reported in the provided data to explain recent market movements. Further information or additional sources may be required to understand the current situation.

No Data Available

No significant events or updates have been reported in the provided data. The lack of information suggests a period of stability or absence of major news impacting the market at this time.

There are no tweets or social media activity provided for analysis at this time. Without data, no key events or sentiments can be summarized.

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Market Update Lacking

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No specific events or news are available from the provided data to summarize at this time. Further information is needed to assess the context behind any significant market movements.

Market Event Summary

No significant events or news have been reported in the provided data to explain recent market movements. Further information is needed to assess the factors influencing current trends.

The White House has ordered U.S. forces to focus almost exclusively on enforcing a maritime quarantine of Venezuelan oil for the next two months, escalating tensions with Caracas through a blockade and pursuit of oil tankers. Meanwhile, Venezuela's parliament passed a law criminalizing support for the U.S. blockade, and Russia has condemned the U.S. actions at the United Nations.

US Blockades Venezuela Oil

US COAST GUARD LACKS FORCES TO SEIZE VENEZUELA-LINKED TANKER FOR NOW

The U.S. Coast Guard is waiting for additional forces to arrive before potentially attempting to board and seize a Venezuela-linked oil tanker it has been pursuing since Sunday, a U.S. official and a source

BREAKING; US Coast Guard Awaits Elite Boarding Teams to Seize Defiant Venezuela-Linked Tanker Bella 1

The U.S. Coast Guard is not yet able to seize the Venezuela-linked oil tanker Bella 1 because it lacks nearby specialized boarding forces. 

The ship has refused boarding, https://t.co/D8Cuj4pcTG

US Official: US  has ordered its forces to focus almost exclusively on enforcing the quarantine of Venezuela and sanctioned oil for at least the next two months.

While military options still exist, the focus is on first using economic pressure by enforcing sanctions to achieve

U.S. moves more troops and equipment into the Caribbean. Trump escalates tensions with Maduro, the Venezuelan leader. Venezuela votes to criminalize oil tank seizures. Trump, who you MAGA idiots call the “Peace President,” will get us in a war. 😡 https://t.co/TAqnA1l9U8

🚨🇷🇺🇺🇸🇻🇪 BREAKING: Russia has CONDEMNED the US 'blockade' of Venezuela at the United Nations.

"We firmly condemn the seizure by US troops of petroleum tankers and the effective imposition of a blockade on Venezuela," Russia’s UN Representative Vassily Nebenzia stated.

Follow: https://t.co/FLQdBkM5Hu

US Coast Guard lacks forces to seize Venezuela-linked tanker for now

The Panamanian-flagged ship prevented the Coast Guard from boarding, claiming that they had no jurisdiction there. The Coast Guard stated that it lacked the personnel to force the boarding. In reality, they are https://t.co/41WO43cwy6

Exclusive: The US Coast Guard is waiting for additional forces to arrive before potentially attempting to board and seize a Venezuela-linked oil tanker it's been pursuing since December 21, a US official and a source familiar with the matter told Reuters https://t.co/fRqvAt7G8v

US military moves additional special-ops aircraft, troops into Caribbean as Trump mounts pressure on Venezuela’s Maduro https://t.co/QWBDcJZb7y https://t.co/yVf0mmYHaF

A sanctioned oil tanker pursued by US forces turned away from Venezuela and retreated out into the Atlantic Ocean, according to people familiar with the matter, as the Trump administration continues a blockade piling pressure on Caracas. https://t.co/UdLeQcNExR

BREAKING: Russia Backs Venezuela | US Deploys Special Operations Troops https://t.co/ayPZFvxCC3

Exclusive: US Coast Guard lacks forces to seize Venezuela-linked tanker for now, sources say https://t.co/z2ceZPGDes

White House orders US forces to focus on 'quarantine' of Venezuelan oil for next two months https://t.co/zpwVkqW1yl

US troops given 2-month plan: focus on Venezuela 'QUARANTINE'

American official tells Reuters 'military options still exist'

BUT 'focus to 1st use economic pressure to reach outcome WH looking for' https://t.co/jW0Qjk8HIb https://t.co/FKl7dqe78g

US Moves Additional Troops and Special Operations Aircraft to the Caribbean as It Escalates Against Venezuela 
#Venezuela #Caribbean 
https://t.co/kVqHaUcmcf

The White House has ordered commanders in the Caribbean to focus for the next two months on quarantining #Venezuela oil, a source familiar with the matter tells @hlowenkron.

US forces are focused nearly exclusively on the blockade, rather than military options, the source said. https://t.co/dVkcyyac5k

White House orders US forces to focus on 'quarantine' of Venezuelan oil for next two months - https://t.co/CaRwcFTeob

The White House has ordered US military forces to focus almost exclusively on enforcing the "quarantine" of Venezuela, an American official tells Reuters.
 https://t.co/stADTk6aOp

Reuters - US Coast Guard waiting for additional forces to arrive before potentially attempting to board and seize a Venezuela-linked oil tanker it's been pursuing since December 21. https://t.co/stspu6W36O
 https://t.co/iVraslUA85

Reuters: 

The White House has ordered US forces to focus “almost exclusively” on enforcing a maritime blockade of Venezuela. https://t.co/ra4cdfVRkM

On Dec. 23, 2025, #Venezuela's parliament passed a law imposing lengthy prison terms on national citizens who support the #US oil tanker blockade—called #piracy by #Caracas. The legislation was enacted shortly after US forces seized a second Venezuelan crude-carrying tanker. https://t.co/MFtkyAlmwv

There are no tweets provided for analysis at this time. Without content to summarize, no key events or sentiments can be reported.

No significant events or updates have been reported in the provided data. The lack of information suggests a period of stability or minimal activity influencing the current context.

Tensions between the US and Venezuela have intensified as President Trump orders military actions, including a blockade of oil tankers and lethal strikes on vessels, prompting Venezuelan President Maduro to prepare for potential conflict and seek regional alliances with Colombia and support from China. Meanwhile, Brazilian President Lula offers to mediate to avoid armed conflict, as US military presence grows in the Caribbean Sea and Maduro warns of shutting down oil wells in response to the blockade.

US-Venezuela Conflict Escalates

The US war on Venezuela is as unpopular in Venezuela as it is in the US

An overwhelming majority of Venezuelans oppose US military intervention in their country and US sanctions, according to independent polling firm Datanalysis

More proof the war’s a Florida Gusano project https://t.co/JWsMcYUVFa

18/12/2025 - NOTÍCIA INTERNACIONAL!

US–Venezuela Conflict LIVE: "Trump Launches Lethal Action Against Drug Smuggling Vessel "-WION 

Conflito EUA–Venezuela AO VIVO: "Trump lança ação letal contra embarcação de contrabando de drogas" - WION

https://t.co/lDulY1oaxQ

BREAKING - Lula says open to mediate between US, Venezuela to 'avoid armed conflict'

https://t.co/SIGFg3n9nl

🚨BREAKING 🇻🇪🇨🇴🇺🇸

Maduro urges Colombia to join forces with Venezuela in a united defense against rising US pressure. Tensions in the region are heating up! https://t.co/qy7t9Ri3wG

🔴US show of force continues near Venezuela 

2x EA-18G Growler and 3x F/A-18E fighters fly over the Caribbean Sea https://t.co/Z9j2ualm1U

Venezuela Prepares for Possible Clash with US, Maduro Warns of Imminent Conflict

#venezuela #us #cnnews #centristnation https://t.co/Q02W4bXNk9

Advice from intelligence analyst @DanielBlancoPaz to produce diligent reports:

▪️ Stick to the facts
▪️ Keep up with the domestic context
▪️ Human contacts always beat open sources

More essentials for analysing the US–Venezuela conflict👇 https://t.co/KM7AVuAaVY

🇻🇪 President Nicolas Maduro called on the Colombian military to come to Venezuela's aid in the event of a potential conflict with the United States, if necessary.

See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo https://t.co/LmXJu3xq6e

VIDEO | The US military has carried out another fatal strike in international waters, killing four people in the eastern Pacific, as Washington intensifies its controversial military campaign linked to Venezuela. US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said US forces conducted a https://t.co/EGrvRaueYr

NEW From @nytimes: US gunboat diplomacy — Trump's order to do a blockade of some oil tankers by Venezuela surprised the Pentagon. Maduro orders the navy to escort ships, risking a conflict on the high seas. Trump says he aims to seize the country's oil and other assets. https://t.co/yLhjMyothO

Insightful look beyond the rhetoric and clickbait on #Venezuela’s military, by ⁦@jpolga⁩, who concludes that the FANB “retains enough asymmetric capacity to make any foreign intervention prolonged, costly, and politically fraught.” https://t.co/3XWKUwfYqp

BREAKING🇻🇪❌🇺🇸🔥 Venezuela says, Crude Oil and Mineral exports will continue despite US blockade attempts in Caribbean Sea with Bolivarian Security forces. 

🇻🇪🇨🇳 China will boost govt revenue through Venezuelan oil and Mineral revenue to combat American invasion like Iran. https://t.co/ro8GhwzyYv

"Trump, don't wait for oil - or take it by force," - Maduro

Venezuela is preparing to shut down oil wells due to the US blockade. And it is gathering allied forces for the country's defense.

Mobilization activities are taking place throughout the country. In essence, this is a

No significant social media activity or specific events were reported in the provided data to explain the market price movement. Further analysis of other sources may be required to understand the underlying causes.

No significant social media activity or specific events were reported in the provided data to summarize. Further information is needed to assess any impact on market movements.

There are no tweets or social media activity to summarize at this time. Please provide relevant data for analysis when available.

There are no tweets provided for analysis at this time. Please provide relevant social media content to generate a summary and title based on current events or market sentiment.

No significant events or updates have been reported in the provided data. The absence of specific information limits the ability to assess key influences on recent market movements.

No significant events or updates were reported in the analyzed data. The lack of specific information suggests a period of stability or minimal activity in the market.

There are no tweets or updates to summarize at this time. Please check back later for relevant information or updates on market activity.

No Updates Available

The United States has imposed a naval blockade on Venezuela, targeting oil tankers like the Bella 1, with the White House ordering a two-month 'quarantine' focus on Venezuelan oil to exert economic pressure. Russia and other UNSC members have condemned the US actions as a breach of international norms, while US forces await additional support to seize defiant vessels.

🚨🇷🇺🇻🇪 BREAKING: RUSSIA has CONDEMNED the U.S. BLOCKADE of VENEZUELA:

"We firmly condemn the seizure by US troops of petroleum tankers and the effective imposition of a blockade on Venezuela" - Russia at the UN https://t.co/NeAh005k0C

💬 #Zakharova: On Dec 23, the UNSC convened to discuss the increased US military presence in the Caribbean Sea &amp; a de facto naval blockade against Venezuela

❗️ Most UNSC members condemned the unilateral measures, calling them a breach of international legal norms https://t.co/nntES6GKL3

The United States has imposed a strict blockade on Venezuelan oil, deploying Coast Guard and special operations forces to seize tankers and enforce a 'quarantine' in the Caribbean. Russia has condemned these actions, backing Venezuela amidst escalating tensions and military pressure from the Trump administration.

#Caribbean #Heat Check: #Venezuela Pressure Goes Kinetic

#WSJ reports the US is moving special-ops #aircraft #troops and gear into the Caribbean as #President Trump ramps pressure on Venezuela, including seizing oil #tankers Translation: more military options on the table, more https://t.co/j7RbSJUaOq

US military moves additional special-ops aircraft, troops into Caribbean as Trump hikes pressure on Venezuela's Maduro  https://t.co/OKKRvr7LaH

President Donald Trump has confirmed a secret U.S. strike on a Venezuelan land target, while escalating military presence with additional troops and aircraft in the Caribbean. The administration's seizure of a Venezuelan oil tanker has raised alarms among Democrats, fearing heightened conflict or potential war in the region.

Trump Escalates Venezuela Conflict

🚨 Trump claims US carried out secret strike on land target in Venezuela

"And we just talked out, I don't know if you read or you saw, they [Venezuela] have a big plant or a big facility where the ships come from. Two nights ago, we knocked that out. So we hit them very hard." https://t.co/jui7b66U3G

DOCUMENTARY: VENEZUELA- DEFENDING THE REVOLUTION

As Donald Trump threatens Venezuela with military intervention, Venezuelans are organizing People’s Militias nationwide to defend their sovereignty against foreign and internal threats.

WACTH HERE : https://t.co/5zGRdm3sdp https://t.co/I7gt3gOpTs https://t.co/4nDe6kOKYp

While Pedophile Trump commits WAR CRIMES every day, MAGA Cheers, MAGA Raises a Glass, MAGA is Lost, GOP is Lost

“US Moves Additional Troops and Special Operations Aircraft to the Caribbean as It Escalates Against Venezuela” https://t.co/7h3xwP3pOy

https://t.co/LTlNcYeFh4 Democrats are sounding alarm bells after the Trump administration seized a Venezuelan oil tanker Wednesday, with lawmakers worrying that the move could lead to increased conflict or even war in the region.

Due to the absence of specific tweets or data provided for analysis, no detailed summary of social media activity or related market events can be generated. Please provide relevant tweets or information to enable a comprehensive analysis of the situation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. 

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". 

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Somaliland as an independent state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only the U.S. government's formal recognition of Somaliland as an independent state will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 28, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, and January 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Infinex raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://infinex.xyz/sale

If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”

US forces in Venezuela by...?

September 30
$228,500 Vol.
No

October 31
$457,088 Vol.
No

November 30
$514,514 Vol.
No

December 31
$1,462,395 Vol.
No

January 31
$6,361,686 Vol.
Yes

March 31
$411,488 Vol.
Yes

Market Context

US forces in Venezuela by...?

Rules

US forces in Venezuela by...?

Market Context

US forces in Venezuela by...?

About

Related

US forces in Venezuela by...?

September 30$228,500 Vol.Nocircle xmark

October 31$457,088 Vol.Nocircle xmark

November 30$514,514 Vol.Nocircle xmark

December 31$1,462,395 Vol.Nocircle xmark

January 31$6,361,686 Vol.Yescircle check

March 31$411,488 Vol.Yescircle check

Market Context

US forces in Venezuela by...?

Rules

US forces in Venezuela by...?

Market Context

US forces in Venezuela by...?

About

Related

September 30
$228,500 Vol.
No

October 31
$457,088 Vol.
No

November 30
$514,514 Vol.
No

December 31
$1,462,395 Vol.
No

January 31
$6,361,686 Vol.
Yes

March 31
$411,488 Vol.
Yes