Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ted Cruz's weekly X posts at 80-99 (37%) as most likely, reflecting his established pattern of 8-12 posts per day on @tedcruz, extrapolated over the March 31-April 7 window starting 12:00 PM ET. This baseline, drawn from prior weeks like March 24-31 where he averaged similar volume amid routine Senate duties, anchors the 60-119 range above 90% combined probability. Early market activity shows 10+ posts since March 31, focused on the ongoing government shutdown—now day 44, the longest in U.S. history—DHS funding battles, ICE operations, podcast promotions for Verdict, and immigration enforcement. No major disruptions like travel or hearings noted yet, though Commerce Committee sessions could elevate output; odds remain fluid pending full-week pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTed Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
80-99 50%
60-79 26.6%
100-119 27%
160-179 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
3%
60-79
27%
80-99
38%
100-119
27%
120-139
3%
140-159
3%
160-179
21%
180-199
9%
200+
2%
80-99 50%
60-79 26.6%
100-119 27%
160-179 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
<20
$2,740 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$2,071 Vol.
1%
40-59
$1,484 Vol.
3%
60-79
$299 Vol.
27%
80-99
$18 Vol.
38%
100-119
$46 Vol.
27%
120-139
$60 Vol.
3%
140-159
$30 Vol.
3%
160-179
$6 Vol.
21%
180-199
$431 Vol.
9%
200+
$60 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ted Cruz's weekly X posts at 80-99 (37%) as most likely, reflecting his established pattern of 8-12 posts per day on @tedcruz, extrapolated over the March 31-April 7 window starting 12:00 PM ET. This baseline, drawn from prior weeks like March 24-31 where he averaged similar volume amid routine Senate duties, anchors the 60-119 range above 90% combined probability. Early market activity shows 10+ posts since March 31, focused on the ongoing government shutdown—now day 44, the longest in U.S. history—DHS funding battles, ICE operations, podcast promotions for Verdict, and immigration enforcement. No major disruptions like travel or hearings noted yet, though Commerce Committee sessions could elevate output; odds remain fluid pending full-week pace.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$7,244End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ted Cruz's weekly X posts at 80-99 (37%) as most likely, reflecting his established pattern of 8-12 posts per day on @tedcruz, extrapolated over the March 31-April 7 window starting 12:00 PM ET. This baseline, drawn from prior weeks like March 24-31 where he averaged similar volume amid routine Senate duties, anchors the 60-119 range above 90% combined probability. Early market activity shows 10+ posts since March 31, focused on the ongoing government shutdown—now day 44, the longest in U.S. history—DHS funding battles, ICE operations, podcast promotions for Verdict, and immigration enforcement. No major disruptions like travel or hearings noted yet, though Commerce Committee sessions could elevate output; odds remain fluid pending full-week pace.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,244End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ted Cruz's weekly X posts at 80-99 (37%) as most likely, reflecting his established pattern of 8-12 posts per day on @tedcruz, extrapolated over the March 31-April 7 window starting 12:00 PM ET. This baseline, drawn from prior weeks like March 24-31 where he averaged similar volume amid routine Senate duties, anchors the 60-119 range above 90% combined probability. Early market activity shows 10+ posts since March 31, focused on the ongoing government shutdown—now day 44, the longest in U.S. history—DHS funding battles, ICE operations, podcast promotions for Verdict, and immigration enforcement. No major disruptions like travel or hearings noted yet, though Commerce Committee sessions could elevate output; odds remain fluid pending full-week pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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