Polymarket traders have overwhelmingly positioned for a decline in South Korea's February unemployment rate, with 100% implied probability on "Down," anchored by Statistics Korea's official release on March 13 showing the seasonally adjusted rate dipping to 2.7% from 2.8% in January. This consensus reflects robust labor market momentum amid 1.6% annualized GDP growth in Q4 2023 and surging semiconductor exports bolstering hiring in manufacturing hubs. Steady job additions—over 100,000 non-farm payrolls—further underpin the downtrend. Challenges would require rare data revisions or methodological shifts, but trader capital dismisses these at near-zero odds ahead of April's print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSouth Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?
South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?
Down 100.0%
Up <1%
No Change <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
Up
No
No Change
No
Down
Yes
Down 100.0%
Up <1%
No Change <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
Up
$0 Vol.
No
No Change
$0 Vol.
No
Down
$0 Vol.
Yes
This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.
This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 18, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.This is a market about the monthly variation in South Korea’s unemployment rate, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the South Korea Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) in the monthly Economically Active Population Survey.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is higher in February than in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “No Change” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is the same in February as it was in the last published month.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the South Korean Unemployment Rate, before seasonal adjustment, is lower in February than in the last published month.
The resolution sources for this market are the MODS Economically Active Population Surveys for the relevant months, released every month at https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20105020000&bid=11732&eng_board_type=01
The next data release is scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 18, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders have overwhelmingly positioned for a decline in South Korea's February unemployment rate, with 100% implied probability on "Down," anchored by Statistics Korea's official release on March 13 showing the seasonally adjusted rate dipping to 2.7% from 2.8% in January. This consensus reflects robust labor market momentum amid 1.6% annualized GDP growth in Q4 2023 and surging semiconductor exports bolstering hiring in manufacturing hubs. Steady job additions—over 100,000 non-farm payrolls—further underpin the downtrend. Challenges would require rare data revisions or methodological shifts, but trader capital dismisses these at near-zero odds ahead of April's print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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