Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30 at 100%, driven by end-of-day FlightAware tallies logging around 5,200 delays—below the late-March average of 5,600 amid recovery from mid-month storms—corroborated by FAA daily air traffic reports citing only minor wind impacts and no major ground stops like the March 28 Washington-area odor incident. Bureau of Transportation Statistics preliminary on-time performance data aligns closely, reflecting typical volumes for roughly 45,000 scheduled domestic flights where delays are defined as 15+ minutes late. This commanding position stems from transparent real-time tracking and absence of disruptions. Rare challenges could arise from late-reported flights or BTS methodological adjustments pushing totals above 5,500.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated5,000-5,500 100.0%
<5,000 <1%
5,500-6,000 <1%
6,000-6,500 <1%
$13,177 Vol.
$13,177 Vol.
<5,000
No
5,000-5,500
Yes
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
7,000-7,500
No
7,500-8,000
No
>8,000
No
5,000-5,500 100.0%
<5,000 <1%
5,500-6,000 <1%
6,000-6,500 <1%
$13,177 Vol.
$13,177 Vol.
<5,000
No
5,000-5,500
Yes
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
7,000-7,500
No
7,500-8,000
No
>8,000
No
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30 at 100%, driven by end-of-day FlightAware tallies logging around 5,200 delays—below the late-March average of 5,600 amid recovery from mid-month storms—corroborated by FAA daily air traffic reports citing only minor wind impacts and no major ground stops like the March 28 Washington-area odor incident. Bureau of Transportation Statistics preliminary on-time performance data aligns closely, reflecting typical volumes for roughly 45,000 scheduled domestic flights where delays are defined as 15+ minutes late. This commanding position stems from transparent real-time tracking and absence of disruptions. Rare challenges could arise from late-reported flights or BTS methodological adjustments pushing totals above 5,500.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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