Recent polls depict a closely contested 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, with incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holding narrow leads over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford—such as 44%-42% in a late March Hart Research survey and 40%-37% in a March 30 KTNV poll—amid high undecideds around 20-23%. Traders price Democrats at 56% implied probability, driven by the battleground state's Democratic-leaning urban base in Clark County, Lombardo's slim 2022 win, and historical midterm opposition gains. Lombardo boasts a commanding Q1 fundraising edge, but June 9 primaries loom as key tests for nominees amid tightening dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20,798 Vol.
$20,798 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
56%
Republican
44%
$20,798 Vol.
$20,798 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$5,287 Vol.
56%
Republican
$15,511 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls depict a closely contested 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, with incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holding narrow leads over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford—such as 44%-42% in a late March Hart Research survey and 40%-37% in a March 30 KTNV poll—amid high undecideds around 20-23%. Traders price Democrats at 56% implied probability, driven by the battleground state's Democratic-leaning urban base in Clark County, Lombardo's slim 2022 win, and historical midterm opposition gains. Lombardo boasts a commanding Q1 fundraising edge, but June 9 primaries loom as key tests for nominees amid tightening dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$20,798End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls depict a closely contested 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, with incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holding narrow leads over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford—such as 44%-42% in a late March Hart Research survey and 40%-37% in a March 30 KTNV poll—amid high undecideds around 20-23%. Traders price Democrats at 56% implied probability, driven by the battleground state's Democratic-leaning urban base in Clark County, Lombardo's slim 2022 win, and historical midterm opposition gains. Lombardo boasts a commanding Q1 fundraising edge, but June 9 primaries loom as key tests for nominees amid tightening dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,798End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls depict a closely contested 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, with incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holding narrow leads over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford—such as 44%-42% in a late March Hart Research survey and 40%-37% in a March 30 KTNV poll—amid high undecideds around 20-23%. Traders price Democrats at 56% implied probability, driven by the battleground state's Democratic-leaning urban base in Clark County, Lombardo's slim 2022 win, and historical midterm opposition gains. Lombardo boasts a commanding Q1 fundraising edge, but June 9 primaries loom as key tests for nominees amid tightening dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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