Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has solidified Democratic dominance, with traders assigning a 93% implied probability to a Democratic winner. After incumbent Tim Walz opted not to seek re-election, the popular U.S. senator quickly consolidated party support following strong straw-poll results and early general-election polling leads of 13–17 points over Republican contenders such as state House Speaker Lisa Demuth. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Minnesota’s recent voting patterns and the limited strength of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 primaries. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$57,921 Vol.
$57,921 Vol.

Démocrate
93%

Républicain
4%
$57,921 Vol.
$57,921 Vol.

Démocrate
93%

Républicain
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has solidified Democratic dominance, with traders assigning a 93% implied probability to a Democratic winner. After incumbent Tim Walz opted not to seek re-election, the popular U.S. senator quickly consolidated party support following strong straw-poll results and early general-election polling leads of 13–17 points over Republican contenders such as state House Speaker Lisa Demuth. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Minnesota’s recent voting patterns and the limited strength of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 primaries. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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