Incumbent Republican Richard Hudson holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 9th congressional district, a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by major forecasters due to its R+8 partisan lean and the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Hudson, seeking an eighth term and serving as NRCC chair, benefits from established fundraising, name recognition, and uncontested Republican primary. Democrat Richard Ojeda, a retired Army major who won his March primary, has drawn veteran endorsements and DCCC targeting, with one late-August poll showing the race within four points. Trader consensus at 75.5% for Hudson reflects these structural advantages and limited remaining time before the November 3 general election, though Democratic spending and turnout efforts could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-09 House Election Winner
NC-09 House Election Winner
$29,563 Vol.
$29,563 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Richard Hudson (R)
76%
Richard Ojeda (D)
24%
$29,563 Vol.
$29,563 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Richard Hudson (R)
$14,362 Vol.
76%
Richard Ojeda (D)
$15,201 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Richard Hudson holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 9th congressional district, a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by major forecasters due to its R+8 partisan lean and the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Hudson, seeking an eighth term and serving as NRCC chair, benefits from established fundraising, name recognition, and uncontested Republican primary. Democrat Richard Ojeda, a retired Army major who won his March primary, has drawn veteran endorsements and DCCC targeting, with one late-August poll showing the race within four points. Trader consensus at 75.5% for Hudson reflects these structural advantages and limited remaining time before the November 3 general election, though Democratic spending and turnout efforts could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$29,563End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Richard Hudson holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 9th congressional district, a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by major forecasters due to its R+8 partisan lean and the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Hudson, seeking an eighth term and serving as NRCC chair, benefits from established fundraising, name recognition, and uncontested Republican primary. Democrat Richard Ojeda, a retired Army major who won his March primary, has drawn veteran endorsements and DCCC targeting, with one late-August poll showing the race within four points. Trader consensus at 75.5% for Hudson reflects these structural advantages and limited remaining time before the November 3 general election, though Democratic spending and turnout efforts could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,563End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Richard Hudson holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 9th congressional district, a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by major forecasters due to its R+8 partisan lean and the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Hudson, seeking an eighth term and serving as NRCC chair, benefits from established fundraising, name recognition, and uncontested Republican primary. Democrat Richard Ojeda, a retired Army major who won his March primary, has drawn veteran endorsements and DCCC targeting, with one late-August poll showing the race within four points. Trader consensus at 75.5% for Hudson reflects these structural advantages and limited remaining time before the November 3 general election, though Democratic spending and turnout efforts could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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