Market icon
Politics·Trump

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

2% chance
Polymarket

$66,654 Vol.

2% chance
Polymarket

$66,654 Vol.

On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following a March 25 fatal shooting by Border Patrol agent Hunter Johansen in a Minneapolis suburb, where body camera footage released by DHS shows the driver accelerating toward the agent, Johansen was placed on standard paid administrative leave pending a federal use-of-force investigation by the FBI and DHS Office of Inspector General. Such probes typically span weeks or months before any disciplinary action like firing or resignation, with no public statements, union protections, or political pressures indicating imminent personnel changes. Trader consensus at 99.6% "No" reflects procedural norms and the tight March 31 deadline, though late-breaking internal findings or scandals could theoretically prompt swift action.

Following a March 25 fatal shooting by Border Patrol agent Hunter Johansen in a Minneapolis suburb, where body camera footage released by DHS shows the driver accelerating toward the agent, Johansen was placed on standard paid administrative leave pending a federal use-of-force investigation by the FBI and DHS Office of Inspector General. Such probes typically span weeks or months before any disciplinary action like firing or resignation, with no public statements, union protections, or political pressures indicating imminent personnel changes. Trader consensus at 99.6% "No" reflects procedural norms and the tight March 31 deadline, though late-breaking internal findings or scandals could theoretically prompt swift action.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following a March 25 fatal shooting by Border Patrol agent Hunter Johansen in a Minneapolis suburb, where body camera footage released by DHS shows the driver accelerating toward the agent, Johansen was placed on standard paid administrative leave pending a federal use-of-force investigation by the FBI and DHS Office of Inspector General. Such probes typically span weeks or months before any disciplinary action like firing or resignation, with no public statements, union protections, or political pressures indicating imminent personnel changes. Trader consensus at 99.6% "No" reflects procedural norms and the tight March 31 deadline, though late-breaking internal findings or scandals could theoretically prompt swift action.

Following a March 25 fatal shooting by Border Patrol agent Hunter Johansen in a Minneapolis suburb, where body camera footage released by DHS shows the driver accelerating toward the agent, Johansen was placed on standard paid administrative leave pending a federal use-of-force investigation by the FBI and DHS Office of Inspector General. Such probes typically span weeks or months before any disciplinary action like firing or resignation, with no public statements, union protections, or political pressures indicating imminent personnel changes. Trader consensus at 99.6% "No" reflects procedural norms and the tight March 31 deadline, though late-breaking internal findings or scandals could theoretically prompt swift action.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 2% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 2¢, the market collectively assigns a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" has generated $66.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" is 2% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.