ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Name: ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Start: 2026-01-08T15:56:57.891Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? — Discussion

dontshowmyname · 2026-01-08T15:56:57.891Z

Discussion about ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Politics·Minnesota

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

<1% chance

$317,147 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

<1% chance

$317,147 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

<1%

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

<1%

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

<1%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" has generated $317.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $317.1K traded on “ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of "Yes" or "No" represents the market's implied probability. A "Yes" price of 0¢ for "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" means traders collectively believe there is a 0% chance this event will happen. If you buy "Yes" at 0¢ and the event does happen, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If the event doesn't happen, those shares are worth $0.

The "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" market has an active community of 27 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Order Book

Order Book

Related

Frequently Asked Questions

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Order Book

Order Book

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (27)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?"?

What are the current odds for "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?"?

How will "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" be resolved?

Can I follow "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?"?

What does a price of 0¢ for "Yes" mean?

When does the "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?" market close?

What are traders saying about "ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?"?

What is Polymarket?