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Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Julia Letlow 71%

Bill Cassidy 15%

John Fleming 12.8%

Blake Miguez <1%

Polymarket

$58,880 Vol.

Julia Letlow 71%

Bill Cassidy 15%

John Fleming 12.8%

Blake Miguez <1%

Polymarket

$58,880 Vol.

Julia Letlow

$4,567 Vol.

71%

Bill Cassidy

$14,240 Vol.

15%

John Fleming

$25,266 Vol.

13%

Blake Miguez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Eric Skrmetta

$0 Vol.

<1%

Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt

$0 Vol.

<1%

Julie Emerson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kathy Seiden

$0 Vol.

<1%

Randall Arrington

$14,808 Vol.

<1%

Chris Holder

$0 Vol.

<1%

Xan John

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tracy Dendy

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$58,880
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julia Letlow" at 71%, followed by "Bill Cassidy" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $58.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Julia Letlow" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bill Cassidy" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.