Market icon

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?

Market icon

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?

Up 100.0%

No Change <1%

Down <1%

Polymarket

$2,917 Vol.

Up 100.0%

No Change <1%

Down <1%

Polymarket

$2,917 Vol.

Up

$1,967 Vol.

Yes

No Change

$483 Vol.

No

Down

$467 Vol.

No

This is a market about the monthly variation in India’s overall unemployment rate (all-India/overall, persons aged 15 and above) as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) in the monthly Periodic Labor Force Survey (PLFS).

This market will resolve to “Up” if the Indian overall unemployment rate is higher in January than in the last published month.

This market will resolve to “No Change” if the Indian unemployment rate is the same in January as it was in the last published month.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the Indian Unemployment Rate is lower in January than in the last published month.

The resolution sources for this market are the MoSPI Monthly Bulletins of the Periodic Labor Force Survey for the relevant months, released every month at https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases

The next data release is scheduled for February 16, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data made after this release will not count toward this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1766406009096-ARCupdatedtill20November2025.pdf

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.
Volume
$2,917
End Date
Feb 16, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
This is a market about the monthly variation in India’s overall unemployment rate (all-India/overall, persons aged 15 and above) as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) in the monthly Periodic Labor Force Survey (PLFS). This market will resolve to “Up” if the Indian overall unemployment rate is higher in January than in the last published month. This market will resolve to “No Change” if the Indian unemployment rate is the same in January as it was in the last published month. This market will resolve to “Down” if the Indian Unemployment Rate is lower in January than in the last published month. The resolution sources for this market are the MoSPI Monthly Bulletins of the Periodic Labor Force Survey for the relevant months, released every month at https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases The next data release is scheduled for February 16, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data made after this release will not count toward this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1766406009096-ARCupdatedtill20November2025.pdf If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Yes." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?," decide whether you believe Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 15 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 9. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Yes." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?" market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 15 versus noon ET on February 9, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the February 15 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.