Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 89.2%

500-750k 6.5%

<250k 2.9%

750k-1m 1.1%

$5,129,916 Vol.

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$5,129,916
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 89.2%

500-750k 6.5%

<250k 2.9%

750k-1m 1.1%

$5,129,916 Vol.

<250k

$1,044,157 Vol.

3%

250-500k

$1,297,347 Vol.

89%

500-750k

$474,052 Vol.

7%

750k-1m

$460,836 Vol.

1%

1-1.25m

$447,682 Vol.

1%

1.25-1.5m

$365,042 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$387,371 Vol.

<1%

1.75-2m

$322,261 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$331,169 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$5,129,916
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Beware of external links.