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Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?

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Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?

84-85°F 100.0%

75°F or below <1%

76-77°F <1%

78-79°F <1%

Polymarket

$134,969 Vol.

84-85°F 100.0%

75°F or below <1%

76-77°F <1%

78-79°F <1%

Polymarket

$134,969 Vol.

75°F or below

$8,237 Vol.

No

76-77°F

$1,989 Vol.

No

78-79°F

$33,223 Vol.

No

80-81°F

$3,424 Vol.

No

82-83°F

$55,168 Vol.

No

84-85°F

$15,925 Vol.

Yes

86-87°F

$5,841 Vol.

No

88-89°F

$3,775 Vol.

No

90-91°F

$2,412 Vol.

No

92-93°F

$2,069 Vol.

No

94°F or higher

$2,906 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, confirm the highest temperature on March 27 reached 85°F around 4 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome amid light southerly winds and a dominant high-pressure ridge over Texas that suppressed clouds and fostered daytime heating. This peak aligns with short-range forecast models from NOAA showing highs in the mid-80s under persistent warm advection from the south, following an unusually hot early March pattern with prior record ties near 87°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare post hoc data revision from sensor recalibration or inclusion of an overlooked non-official reading—remain highly improbable given verified hourly logs and standardized measurement protocols.

Official National Weather Service observations at Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, confirm the highest temperature on March 27 reached 85°F around 4 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome amid light southerly winds and a dominant high-pressure ridge over Texas that suppressed clouds and fostered daytime heating. This peak aligns with short-range forecast models from NOAA showing highs in the mid-80s under persistent warm advection from the south, following an unusually hot early March pattern with prior record ties near 87°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare post hoc data revision from sensor recalibration or inclusion of an overlooked non-official reading—remain highly improbable given verified hourly logs and standardized measurement protocols.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, confirm the highest temperature on March 27 reached 85°F around 4 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome amid light southerly winds and a dominant high-pressure ridge over Texas that suppressed clouds and fostered daytime heating. This peak aligns with short-range forecast models from NOAA showing highs in the mid-80s under persistent warm advection from the south, following an unusually hot early March pattern with prior record ties near 87°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare post hoc data revision from sensor recalibration or inclusion of an overlooked non-official reading—remain highly improbable given verified hourly logs and standardized measurement protocols.

Official National Weather Service observations at Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, confirm the highest temperature on March 27 reached 85°F around 4 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome amid light southerly winds and a dominant high-pressure ridge over Texas that suppressed clouds and fostered daytime heating. This peak aligns with short-range forecast models from NOAA showing highs in the mid-80s under persistent warm advection from the south, following an unusually hot early March pattern with prior record ties near 87°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare post hoc data revision from sensor recalibration or inclusion of an overlooked non-official reading—remain highly improbable given verified hourly logs and standardized measurement protocols.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-85°F" at 100%, followed by "75°F or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?" has generated $135K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?" is "84-85°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "75°F or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.