Trader consensus on Ankara's highest temperature March 28 tilts toward 15-17°C (60% combined probability), propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model divergence on cloud cover thickness—ECMWF's clearer outlook boosts 17°C odds (22%), while GFS variants with denser stratus favor 15°C (20%) or 16°C (18%); cooler 13-14°C bids (30%) hedge against potential northerly gusts or overcast from a weakening low-pressure system. Historical late-March norms (14°C mean high) and 2-3°C short-range forecast uncertainty from Turkish MGM data underscore the tight race, with final NWP updates pivotal before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 28?
17°C 22%
15°C 19%
16°C 18%
13°C 15%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
9%
11°C
6%
12°C
12%
13°C
15%
14°C
14%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C or higher
12%
17°C 22%
15°C 19%
16°C 18%
13°C 15%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
9%
11°C
6%
12°C
12%
13°C
15%
14°C
14%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ankara's highest temperature March 28 tilts toward 15-17°C (60% combined probability), propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model divergence on cloud cover thickness—ECMWF's clearer outlook boosts 17°C odds (22%), while GFS variants with denser stratus favor 15°C (20%) or 16°C (18%); cooler 13-14°C bids (30%) hedge against potential northerly gusts or overcast from a weakening low-pressure system. Historical late-March norms (14°C mean high) and 2-3°C short-range forecast uncertainty from Turkish MGM data underscore the tight race, with final NWP updates pivotal before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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