Latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) short-range forecasts for Lucknow indicate maximum temperatures clustering around 33-34°C on March 28, driving trader consensus with 33°C at 29% and 34°C at 33% implied probabilities amid dry continental air and clear skies favoring daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show slight divergence due to uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon cloud development, which could cap peaks at 33°C or allow 34°C via enhanced solar insolation under high pressure. Historical March maxima in Lucknow average 32-34°C, with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; resolution hinges on official IMD observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport. Watch for this evening's 12Z model update, which could sharpen the outlook as the date nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
34°C 33%
33°C 29%
32°C or below 17%
35°C 12%
32°C or below
21%
33°C
29%
34°C
33%
35°C
12%
36°C
9%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
33°C 29%
32°C or below 17%
35°C 12%
32°C or below
21%
33°C
29%
34°C
33%
35°C
12%
36°C
9%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) short-range forecasts for Lucknow indicate maximum temperatures clustering around 33-34°C on March 28, driving trader consensus with 33°C at 29% and 34°C at 33% implied probabilities amid dry continental air and clear skies favoring daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show slight divergence due to uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon cloud development, which could cap peaks at 33°C or allow 34°C via enhanced solar insolation under high pressure. Historical March maxima in Lucknow average 32-34°C, with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; resolution hinges on official IMD observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport. Watch for this evening's 12Z model update, which could sharpen the outlook as the date nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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