**Primary driver of odds: Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts projecting a daytime high of 33-35°C in Lucknow on March 27, amid lingering effects of a western disturbance bringing cloud cover and gusty winds that cap heat accumulation.** Seasonal climatology for late March in Uttar Pradesh typically features highs averaging 32-36°C, with diurnal ranges influenced by dry continental air masses and low soil moisture from winter dryness. Current numerical weather prediction models from IMD and ECMWF align on moderated peaks due to overnight lows around 20°C and partial cloudiness, elevating probabilities for 32°C or below (35.5%), 33°C (17%), 34°C (17%), and 35°C (16.5%). Yesterday's observed high of 32.4°C at Amausi airport reinforces this cooling bias, while scant support above 36°C (cumulative ~33%) reflects absent heatwave signals in upper-air data. Traders eye 0900-1500 UTC observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 27?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 27?
32°C or below 37%
33°C 27%
34°C 21%
35°C 17%
32°C or below
37%
33°C
27%
34°C
21%
35°C
17%
36°C
11%
37°C
6%
38°C
6%
39°C
6%
40°C
6%
41°C
9%
42°C or higher
2%
32°C or below 37%
33°C 27%
34°C 21%
35°C 17%
32°C or below
37%
33°C
27%
34°C
21%
35°C
17%
36°C
11%
37°C
6%
38°C
6%
39°C
6%
40°C
6%
41°C
9%
42°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Primary driver of odds: Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts projecting a daytime high of 33-35°C in Lucknow on March 27, amid lingering effects of a western disturbance bringing cloud cover and gusty winds that cap heat accumulation.** Seasonal climatology for late March in Uttar Pradesh typically features highs averaging 32-36°C, with diurnal ranges influenced by dry continental air masses and low soil moisture from winter dryness. Current numerical weather prediction models from IMD and ECMWF align on moderated peaks due to overnight lows around 20°C and partial cloudiness, elevating probabilities for 32°C or below (35.5%), 33°C (17%), 34°C (17%), and 35°C (16.5%). Yesterday's observed high of 32.4°C at Amausi airport reinforces this cooling bias, while scant support above 36°C (cumulative ~33%) reflects absent heatwave signals in upper-air data. Traders eye 0900-1500 UTC observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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