Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 76-77°F (28% implied probability) as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime peak near 77°F under high-pressure ridging aloft, which suppresses marine layer clouds for clearer skies and enhanced solar heating. Close competition from 74-75°F (25%) and 78-79°F (20%) reflects ensemble model spread—GFS leaning warmer at 79°F, while ECMWF holds cooler amid potential onshore flow strengthening later. Above-normal warmth stems from lingering El Niño influences boosting ridge persistence, though historical late-March averages hover at 72°F; lower odds for extremes account for verified observations showing no Santa Ana winds to spike temperatures beyond 80°F. Key watch: afternoon sounding data for boundary layer mixing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
71°F or below 17%
71°F or below
17%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
9%
90°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
71°F or below 17%
71°F or below
17%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
9%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 76-77°F (28% implied probability) as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime peak near 77°F under high-pressure ridging aloft, which suppresses marine layer clouds for clearer skies and enhanced solar heating. Close competition from 74-75°F (25%) and 78-79°F (20%) reflects ensemble model spread—GFS leaning warmer at 79°F, while ECMWF holds cooler amid potential onshore flow strengthening later. Above-normal warmth stems from lingering El Niño influences boosting ridge persistence, though historical late-March averages hover at 72°F; lower odds for extremes account for verified observations showing no Santa Ana winds to spike temperatures beyond 80°F. Key watch: afternoon sounding data for boundary layer mixing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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