Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C or below (62.5%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast predicting a daytime high of 32-33°C amid mild northerly winds and partly cloudy skies suppressing heat buildup. Recent observations show March 24's max at 32.8°C, aligning with seasonal norms for late March (historical average ~32°C) and below early heatwave thresholds seen elsewhere in Uttar Pradesh. Ensemble weather models from IMD and private forecasters converge on low-34°C outcomes (13-14.5% for 34-37°C), with minimal support for extremes (>40°C <2%) due to absent high-pressure ridges or soil moisture deficits. No major updates expected until evening bulletin, but any shift toward clearer skies could nudge odds higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 25?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 25?
33°C or below 50%
37°C 15%
34°C 13%
35°C 13%
33°C or below
63%
34°C
13%
35°C
13%
36°C
11%
37°C
15%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
2%
43°C or higher
1%
33°C or below 50%
37°C 15%
34°C 13%
35°C 13%
33°C or below
63%
34°C
13%
35°C
13%
36°C
11%
37°C
15%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
2%
43°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C or below (62.5%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast predicting a daytime high of 32-33°C amid mild northerly winds and partly cloudy skies suppressing heat buildup. Recent observations show March 24's max at 32.8°C, aligning with seasonal norms for late March (historical average ~32°C) and below early heatwave thresholds seen elsewhere in Uttar Pradesh. Ensemble weather models from IMD and private forecasters converge on low-34°C outcomes (13-14.5% for 34-37°C), with minimal support for extremes (>40°C <2%) due to absent high-pressure ridges or soil moisture deficits. No major updates expected until evening bulletin, but any shift toward clearer skies could nudge odds higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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