Current weather models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) project Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26 at around 34°C, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling the 58% implied probability for 34°C or below as the leading outcome. Recent observations show daytime highs stabilizing near 33-34°C amid typical late-March pre-monsoon warming, with no heatwave alerts issued. Ensemble forecasts like GFS and ECMWF converge on this range, discounting hotter outliers (e.g., 41°C+ at just 6.5%) due to moderating humidity and nocturnal cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with a sharp drop-off above 35°C (27% probability), as historical March maxima rarely exceed 36°C without extreme anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
34°C or below 58%
35°C 27%
36°C 14%
37°C 9%
34°C or below
58%
35°C
27%
36°C
14%
37°C
9%
38°C
7%
39°C
6%
40°C
6%
41°C
7%
42°C
7%
43°C
7%
44°C or higher
1%
34°C or below 58%
35°C 27%
36°C 14%
37°C 9%
34°C or below
58%
35°C
27%
36°C
14%
37°C
9%
38°C
7%
39°C
6%
40°C
6%
41°C
7%
42°C
7%
43°C
7%
44°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) project Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26 at around 34°C, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling the 58% implied probability for 34°C or below as the leading outcome. Recent observations show daytime highs stabilizing near 33-34°C amid typical late-March pre-monsoon warming, with no heatwave alerts issued. Ensemble forecasts like GFS and ECMWF converge on this range, discounting hotter outliers (e.g., 41°C+ at just 6.5%) due to moderating humidity and nocturnal cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with a sharp drop-off above 35°C (27% probability), as historical March maxima rarely exceed 36°C without extreme anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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