Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability to win Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff on April 7, reflecting the district's status as the most Republican-leaning in Georgia per the Cook Political Report, where former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene routinely won by wide margins. In the March 10 special election from a 20-candidate field, Democrat Shawn Harris led with 37% but Fuller, a Trump-endorsed district attorney backed by Club for Growth and House GOP leadership, secured 35%, setting up the head-to-head contest amid expected Republican consolidation. Early voting began March 30 with Democrats investing heavily, but no public polls show shifts. Scenarios like a late scandal, health issue, or anomalous turnout surge could challenge Fuller's commanding position, though structural advantages favor the GOP nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedClayton Fuller 96.6%
Shawn Harris 3.3%
Colton Moore <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$227,672 Vol.
$227,672 Vol.
Clayton Fuller
97%
Shawn Harris
3%
Colton Moore
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
Katie Dempsey
<1%
Jason Anavitarte
<1%
Jeff Criswell
<1%
Jennifer Strahan
<1%
Marcus Flowers
<1%
Tyler Paul Smith
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
Holly McCormack
<1%
Brian Stover
<1%
John Cowan
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
Laura Loomer
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
Martin Momtahan
<1%
Matt Barton
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
Clarence Blalock
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
Clayton Fuller 96.6%
Shawn Harris 3.3%
Colton Moore <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$227,672 Vol.
$227,672 Vol.
Clayton Fuller
97%
Shawn Harris
3%
Colton Moore
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
Katie Dempsey
<1%
Jason Anavitarte
<1%
Jeff Criswell
<1%
Jennifer Strahan
<1%
Marcus Flowers
<1%
Tyler Paul Smith
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
Holly McCormack
<1%
Brian Stover
<1%
John Cowan
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
Laura Loomer
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
Martin Momtahan
<1%
Matt Barton
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
Clarence Blalock
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Market Opened: Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability to win Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff on April 7, reflecting the district's status as the most Republican-leaning in Georgia per the Cook Political Report, where former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene routinely won by wide margins. In the March 10 special election from a 20-candidate field, Democrat Shawn Harris led with 37% but Fuller, a Trump-endorsed district attorney backed by Club for Growth and House GOP leadership, secured 35%, setting up the head-to-head contest amid expected Republican consolidation. Early voting began March 30 with Democrats investing heavily, but no public polls show shifts. Scenarios like a late scandal, health issue, or anomalous turnout surge could challenge Fuller's commanding position, though structural advantages favor the GOP nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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