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GA-14 special election winner?

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GA-14 special election winner?

Clayton Fuller 96.6%

Shawn Harris 3.3%

Colton Moore <1%

Chuck Hufstetler <1%

Polymarket

$227,672 Vol.

Clayton Fuller 96.6%

Shawn Harris 3.3%

Colton Moore <1%

Chuck Hufstetler <1%

Polymarket

$227,672 Vol.

Clayton Fuller

$58,282 Vol.

97%

Shawn Harris

$100,891 Vol.

3%

Colton Moore

$18,538 Vol.

<1%

Chuck Hufstetler

$3,071 Vol.

<1%

Katie Dempsey

$6,226 Vol.

<1%

Jason Anavitarte

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jeff Criswell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Strahan

$3,546 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Flowers

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tyler Paul Smith

$0 Vol.

<1%

Trey Kelley

$3,428 Vol.

<1%

Rob Ruszkowski

$6,808 Vol.

<1%

Holly McCormack

$0 Vol.

<1%

Brian Stover

$0 Vol.

<1%

John Cowan

$4,217 Vol.

<1%

Kasey Carpenter

$3,858 Vol.

<1%

Star Black

$7,222 Vol.

<1%

Laura Loomer

$0 Vol.

<1%

Elvis Casely

$4,549 Vol.

<1%

Martin Momtahan

$0 Vol.

<1%

Matt Barton

$3,273 Vol.

<1%

Uloma Ekpete Kama

$3,764 Vol.

<1%

Clarence Blalock

$0 Vol.

<1%

Eddie Lumsden

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability to win Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff on April 7, reflecting the district's status as the most Republican-leaning in Georgia per the Cook Political Report, where former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene routinely won by wide margins. In the March 10 special election from a 20-candidate field, Democrat Shawn Harris led with 37% but Fuller, a Trump-endorsed district attorney backed by Club for Growth and House GOP leadership, secured 35%, setting up the head-to-head contest amid expected Republican consolidation. Early voting began March 30 with Democrats investing heavily, but no public polls show shifts. Scenarios like a late scandal, health issue, or anomalous turnout surge could challenge Fuller's commanding position, though structural advantages favor the GOP nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$227,672
End Date
Feb 15, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability to win Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff on April 7, reflecting the district's status as the most Republican-leaning in Georgia per the Cook Political Report, where former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene routinely won by wide margins. In the March 10 special election from a 20-candidate field, Democrat Shawn Harris led with 37% but Fuller, a Trump-endorsed district attorney backed by Club for Growth and House GOP leadership, secured 35%, setting up the head-to-head contest amid expected Republican consolidation. Early voting began March 30 with Democrats investing heavily, but no public polls show shifts. Scenarios like a late scandal, health issue, or anomalous turnout surge could challenge Fuller's commanding position, though structural advantages favor the GOP nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$227,672
End Date
Feb 15, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-14 special election winner?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Clayton Fuller" at 97%, followed by "Shawn Harris" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GA-14 special election winner?" has generated $227.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GA-14 special election winner?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-14 special election winner?" is "Clayton Fuller" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shawn Harris" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-14 special election winner?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.