Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

TRUTH COUNT
22
Time left
TRUTHS
22
Time left

100-119 46%

80-99 40%

60-79 8.2%

120-139 6.3%

Polymarket

$48,182 Vol.

100-119 46%

80-99 40%

60-79 8.2%

120-139 6.3%

Polymarket

$48,182 Vol.

<20

$17,107 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$6,825 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$3,561 Vol.

2%

60-79

$2,612 Vol.

8%

80-99

$2,290 Vol.

40%

100-119

$3,823 Vol.

46%

120-139

$1,735 Vol.

6%

140-159

$3,352 Vol.

1%

160-179

$2,345 Vol.

1%

180-199

$2,188 Vol.

<1%

200+

$2,344 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices 100-119 posts (45.5%) slightly ahead of 80-99 (40%) for Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from March 31 to April 7, driven by the prior week's total of 93 posts (averaging 13 daily) as tracked by market data tools, establishing a baseline projection near 90-100 absent shifts. The tight contest stems from Trump's highly variable posting patterns—historical averages hit 18 daily in 2025 but fluctuate with events, including recent barrages on Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz warnings. Separation could arise from escalated foreign policy developments prompting surges (as in past 150+ post nights), scheduled national addresses, or conversely, lighter output during transition priorities or quieter periods before April 7 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$48,182
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices 100-119 posts (45.5%) slightly ahead of 80-99 (40%) for Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from March 31 to April 7, driven by the prior week's total of 93 posts (averaging 13 daily) as tracked by market data tools, establishing a baseline projection near 90-100 absent shifts. The tight contest stems from Trump's highly variable posting patterns—historical averages hit 18 daily in 2025 but fluctuate with events, including recent barrages on Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz warnings. Separation could arise from escalated foreign policy developments prompting surges (as in past 150+ post nights), scheduled national addresses, or conversely, lighter output during transition priorities or quieter periods before April 7 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$48,182
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

Related

Market icon

Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?

57%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-119" at 46%, followed by "80-99" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" has generated $48.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is "100-119" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-99" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.