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Australia Election: Seat of Bennelong

Market icon

Australia Election: Seat of Bennelong

Labor 100.0%

One Nation <1%

FUSION <1%

Liberal <1%

Polymarket

$266,506 Vol.

Labor 100.0%

One Nation <1%

FUSION <1%

Liberal <1%

Polymarket

$266,506 Vol.

One Nation

$5,090 Vol.

No

FUSION

$4,779 Vol.

No

Liberal

$7,455 Vol.

No

Trumpet of Patriots

$5,895 Vol.

No

HEART Party

$5,169 Vol.

No

The Greens

$1,316 Vol.

No

Labor

$225,186 Vol.

Yes

Family First

$11,617 Vol.

No

Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Bennelong will be up for contest in this election.

This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Bennelong belongs to.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$266,506
End Date
May 3, 2025
Market Opened
Apr 15, 2025, 6:34 PM ET
Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Bennelong will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Bennelong belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Australia Election: Seat of Bennelong" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Labor" at 100%, followed by "One Nation" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Australia Election: Seat of Bennelong" has generated $266.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Australia Election: Seat of Bennelong," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Australia Election: Seat of Bennelong" is "Labor" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "One Nation" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Australia Election: Seat of Bennelong" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.