Recent polling shows a technical tie between frontrunners Alan Rick and incumbent Mailza Assis in the October 4 first round, with both advancing to a projected close runoff on October 25. Assis assumed the governorship in April after her predecessor resigned to run for Senate, and her approval ratings remain solid even as Rick maintains a modest edge in trader pricing. Active campaigning, televised debates, and voter indecision—evident in high spontaneous “none” or undecided responses—keep the contest tight. A police operation probing alleged coordinated online attacks on Rick, with reported ties to state employees, has introduced procedural scrutiny without shifting declared intentions. Further debate performances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, or last-minute alliances could widen the gap ahead of voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 53%
Mailza Assis 48%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$40,735 Vol.
$40,735 Vol.

Alan Rick
53%

Mailza Assis
48%

Dr. Luisinho
<1%

Eudo Raffael
<1%

Thor Dantas
<1%

Tião Bocalom
<1%
Alan Rick 53%
Mailza Assis 48%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$40,735 Vol.
$40,735 Vol.

Alan Rick
53%

Mailza Assis
48%

Dr. Luisinho
<1%

Eudo Raffael
<1%

Thor Dantas
<1%

Tião Bocalom
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a technical tie between frontrunners Alan Rick and incumbent Mailza Assis in the October 4 first round, with both advancing to a projected close runoff on October 25. Assis assumed the governorship in April after her predecessor resigned to run for Senate, and her approval ratings remain solid even as Rick maintains a modest edge in trader pricing. Active campaigning, televised debates, and voter indecision—evident in high spontaneous “none” or undecided responses—keep the contest tight. A police operation probing alleged coordinated online attacks on Rick, with reported ties to state employees, has introduced procedural scrutiny without shifting declared intentions. Further debate performances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, or last-minute alliances could widen the gap ahead of voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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