Alan Rick holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election, reflecting his formal launch as the Republicanos nominee in late July alongside running mate Ricardo Leite, combined with earlier polling leads that established momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent surveys show a tight contest: one July poll gave Rick a double-digit advantage over incumbent Mailza Assis of the PP, while an early August AtlasIntel survey found the pair in a technical tie at roughly 33-35 percent amid a fragmented field of six registered candidates. Assis has secured a broad alliance including the PL, yet both frontrunners draw support from overlapping bolsonarista bases, limiting separation. Minor contenders such as Tião Bocalom, Thor Dantas, and others register negligible shares, keeping the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, late alliances, and any shifts in the final weeks before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 56%
Mailza Assis 39%
Eudo Raffael 1.7%
Tião Bocalom 1.6%
$14,606 Vol.
$14,606 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
56%
Mailza Assis
39%
Eudo Raffael
2%
Tião Bocalom
2%
Thor Dantas
1%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Alan Rick 56%
Mailza Assis 39%
Eudo Raffael 1.7%
Tião Bocalom 1.6%
$14,606 Vol.
$14,606 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
$10,236 Vol.
56%
Mailza Assis
$3,761 Vol.
39%
Eudo Raffael
$238 Vol.
2%
Tião Bocalom
$93 Vol.
2%
Thor Dantas
$109 Vol.
1%
Dr. Luisinho
$169 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election, reflecting his formal launch as the Republicanos nominee in late July alongside running mate Ricardo Leite, combined with earlier polling leads that established momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent surveys show a tight contest: one July poll gave Rick a double-digit advantage over incumbent Mailza Assis of the PP, while an early August AtlasIntel survey found the pair in a technical tie at roughly 33-35 percent amid a fragmented field of six registered candidates. Assis has secured a broad alliance including the PL, yet both frontrunners draw support from overlapping bolsonarista bases, limiting separation. Minor contenders such as Tião Bocalom, Thor Dantas, and others register negligible shares, keeping the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, late alliances, and any shifts in the final weeks before voting.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$14,606End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election, reflecting his formal launch as the Republicanos nominee in late July alongside running mate Ricardo Leite, combined with earlier polling leads that established momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent surveys show a tight contest: one July poll gave Rick a double-digit advantage over incumbent Mailza Assis of the PP, while an early August AtlasIntel survey found the pair in a technical tie at roughly 33-35 percent amid a fragmented field of six registered candidates. Assis has secured a broad alliance including the PL, yet both frontrunners draw support from overlapping bolsonarista bases, limiting separation. Minor contenders such as Tião Bocalom, Thor Dantas, and others register negligible shares, keeping the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, late alliances, and any shifts in the final weeks before voting.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,606End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alan Rick holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election, reflecting his formal launch as the Republicanos nominee in late July alongside running mate Ricardo Leite, combined with earlier polling leads that established momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent surveys show a tight contest: one July poll gave Rick a double-digit advantage over incumbent Mailza Assis of the PP, while an early August AtlasIntel survey found the pair in a technical tie at roughly 33-35 percent amid a fragmented field of six registered candidates. Assis has secured a broad alliance including the PL, yet both frontrunners draw support from overlapping bolsonarista bases, limiting separation. Minor contenders such as Tião Bocalom, Thor Dantas, and others register negligible shares, keeping the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, late alliances, and any shifts in the final weeks before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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