**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s October 4 Senate election at 63.5%, ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 24% and Celso Sabino (PDT) at 14.5%.** Recent September 2026 polls, including those from Veritá, Real Time, and others, consistently show Helder Barbalho (MDB) ahead for the top spot while positioning Éder Mauro as the strongest contender for the second seat, often leading or near the top in first-vote preferences and consolidated totals. Éder’s profile as a federal deputy and former police delegate, combined with his 2024 mayoral runoff performance in Belém, has bolstered his standing. Zequinha Marinho, the incumbent seeking re-election, draws support particularly as a second choice but trails in overall positioning. The race features 13 registered candidates for two seats, with voters selecting two names, and the fragmented field beyond the top contenders keeps probabilities for lower-polling names limited. Late polling shifts or turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still influence final placements before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado Éder Mauro 63%
Zequinha Marinho 27%
Celso Sabino 13%
Edlaine Rodrigues 6.5%
$25,156 Vol.
$25,156 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
63%
Zequinha Marinho
27%
Celso Sabino
13%
Edlaine Rodrigues
7%
Helder
5%
Conti
4%
Chicão
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Breno Guimarães
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 63%
Zequinha Marinho 27%
Celso Sabino 13%
Edlaine Rodrigues 6.5%
$25,156 Vol.
$25,156 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$13,946 Vol.
63%
Zequinha Marinho
$7,117 Vol.
27%
Celso Sabino
$495 Vol.
13%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$551 Vol.
7%
Helder
$1,606 Vol.
5%
Conti
$272 Vol.
4%
Chicão
$235 Vol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$208 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$266 Vol.
1%
Breno Guimarães
$250 Vol.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$211 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s October 4 Senate election at 63.5%, ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 24% and Celso Sabino (PDT) at 14.5%.** Recent September 2026 polls, including those from Veritá, Real Time, and others, consistently show Helder Barbalho (MDB) ahead for the top spot while positioning Éder Mauro as the strongest contender for the second seat, often leading or near the top in first-vote preferences and consolidated totals. Éder’s profile as a federal deputy and former police delegate, combined with his 2024 mayoral runoff performance in Belém, has bolstered his standing. Zequinha Marinho, the incumbent seeking re-election, draws support particularly as a second choice but trails in overall positioning. The race features 13 registered candidates for two seats, with voters selecting two names, and the fragmented field beyond the top contenders keeps probabilities for lower-polling names limited. Late polling shifts or turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still influence final placements before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$25,156End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s October 4 Senate election at 63.5%, ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 24% and Celso Sabino (PDT) at 14.5%.** Recent September 2026 polls, including those from Veritá, Real Time, and others, consistently show Helder Barbalho (MDB) ahead for the top spot while positioning Éder Mauro as the strongest contender for the second seat, often leading or near the top in first-vote preferences and consolidated totals. Éder’s profile as a federal deputy and former police delegate, combined with his 2024 mayoral runoff performance in Belém, has bolstered his standing. Zequinha Marinho, the incumbent seeking re-election, draws support particularly as a second choice but trails in overall positioning. The race features 13 registered candidates for two seats, with voters selecting two names, and the fragmented field beyond the top contenders keeps probabilities for lower-polling names limited. Late polling shifts or turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still influence final placements before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,156End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s October 4 Senate election at 63.5%, ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 24% and Celso Sabino (PDT) at 14.5%.** Recent September 2026 polls, including those from Veritá, Real Time, and others, consistently show Helder Barbalho (MDB) ahead for the top spot while positioning Éder Mauro as the strongest contender for the second seat, often leading or near the top in first-vote preferences and consolidated totals. Éder’s profile as a federal deputy and former police delegate, combined with his 2024 mayoral runoff performance in Belém, has bolstered his standing. Zequinha Marinho, the incumbent seeking re-election, draws support particularly as a second choice but trails in overall positioning. The race features 13 registered candidates for two seats, with voters selecting two names, and the fragmented field beyond the top contenders keeps probabilities for lower-polling names limited. Late polling shifts or turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still influence final placements before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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