Delegado Éder Mauro leads trader pricing for second place in Pará’s October 4 Senate election at 63.5%, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in consolidated polling behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) and strength as a first-preference candidate in recent Veritá and Real Time surveys. Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) follows at 25%, buoyed by second-preference support in Quaest and AtlasIntel data amid the dual-vote system that allows split tickets. Lower-priced contenders such as Celso Sabino (PDT) at 7.5% and others trail in fragmented second-vote simulations, where margins of error remain wide and undecided voters exceed 20% in multiple late-August and September polls. High rejection rates for frontrunners and the absence of a dominant second contender sustain the pricing, though late shifts in turnout or alliances could still alter positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado Éder Mauro 63%
Zequinha Marinho 25%
Helder 7.2%
Edlaine Rodrigues 6.6%
$25,229 Vol.
$25,229 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
63%
Zequinha Marinho
25%
Helder
7%
Edlaine Rodrigues
7%
Celso Sabino
7%
Conti
3%
Chicão
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 63%
Zequinha Marinho 25%
Helder 7.2%
Edlaine Rodrigues 6.6%
$25,229 Vol.
$25,229 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$14,019 Vol.
63%
Zequinha Marinho
$7,117 Vol.
25%
Helder
$1,606 Vol.
7%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$551 Vol.
7%
Celso Sabino
$495 Vol.
7%
Conti
$272 Vol.
3%
Chicão
$235 Vol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$208 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$266 Vol.
1%
Breno Guimarães
$250 Vol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$211 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Delegado Éder Mauro leads trader pricing for second place in Pará’s October 4 Senate election at 63.5%, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in consolidated polling behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) and strength as a first-preference candidate in recent Veritá and Real Time surveys. Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) follows at 25%, buoyed by second-preference support in Quaest and AtlasIntel data amid the dual-vote system that allows split tickets. Lower-priced contenders such as Celso Sabino (PDT) at 7.5% and others trail in fragmented second-vote simulations, where margins of error remain wide and undecided voters exceed 20% in multiple late-August and September polls. High rejection rates for frontrunners and the absence of a dominant second contender sustain the pricing, though late shifts in turnout or alliances could still alter positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$25,229End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Delegado Éder Mauro leads trader pricing for second place in Pará’s October 4 Senate election at 63.5%, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in consolidated polling behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) and strength as a first-preference candidate in recent Veritá and Real Time surveys. Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) follows at 25%, buoyed by second-preference support in Quaest and AtlasIntel data amid the dual-vote system that allows split tickets. Lower-priced contenders such as Celso Sabino (PDT) at 7.5% and others trail in fragmented second-vote simulations, where margins of error remain wide and undecided voters exceed 20% in multiple late-August and September polls. High rejection rates for frontrunners and the absence of a dominant second contender sustain the pricing, though late shifts in turnout or alliances could still alter positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,229End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Delegado Éder Mauro leads trader pricing for second place in Pará’s October 4 Senate election at 63.5%, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in consolidated polling behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) and strength as a first-preference candidate in recent Veritá and Real Time surveys. Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) follows at 25%, buoyed by second-preference support in Quaest and AtlasIntel data amid the dual-vote system that allows split tickets. Lower-priced contenders such as Celso Sabino (PDT) at 7.5% and others trail in fragmented second-vote simulations, where margins of error remain wide and undecided voters exceed 20% in multiple late-August and September polls. High rejection rates for frontrunners and the absence of a dominant second contender sustain the pricing, though late shifts in turnout or alliances could still alter positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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