Recent polls from late September show Delegado André David leading overall intentions for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight group—including André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, Delegado Alessandro, and Eduardo Amorim—competing for the second position with single-digit to low-teen support. High undecided and blank/null shares, overlapping party coalitions tied to the gubernatorial contest, and the dual-vote system sustain volatility in second-place ordering. Traders price Rogerio Carvalho highest for runner-up status, followed by Moura and David, reflecting current survey spreads and the narrow margins that could shift with final-week turnout or regional swings before the October 4 vote.