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Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

icon for Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz 70%

Professora Maria do Carmo 20%

Roberto Cidade 2.8%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Omar Aziz 70%

Professora Maria do Carmo 20%

Roberto Cidade 2.8%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$3,249 Vol.

70%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$595 Vol.

20%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$248 Vol.

3%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$178 Vol.

2%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$161 Vol.

1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$157 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$293 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), the incumbent senator and former governor, leads the Amazonas gubernatorial race as the first candidate to formally register for the October 4, 2026, election, with confirmed backing from the PT-PCdoB-PV federation and early polling averages placing him well ahead of rivals. His established statewide profile, multiple prior candidacies, and positioning as the consensus frontrunner have driven trader consensus toward his victory probability. Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) trails as the main alternative in surveys, while Roberto Cidade (current governor via indirect election), David Almeida, and smaller candidates like Gilberto Vasconcelos register minimal support amid a field of eight declared contenders. Recent party alignments and the absence of major shifts in the past month have reinforced Aziz's advantage ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,880
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), the incumbent senator and former governor, leads the Amazonas gubernatorial race as the first candidate to formally register for the October 4, 2026, election, with confirmed backing from the PT-PCdoB-PV federation and early polling averages placing him well ahead of rivals. His established statewide profile, multiple prior candidacies, and positioning as the consensus frontrunner have driven trader consensus toward his victory probability. Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) trails as the main alternative in surveys, while Roberto Cidade (current governor via indirect election), David Almeida, and smaller candidates like Gilberto Vasconcelos register minimal support amid a field of eight declared contenders. Recent party alignments and the absence of major shifts in the past month have reinforced Aziz's advantage ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,880
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Omar Aziz" at 70%, followed by "Professora Maria do Carmo" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Amazonas Governor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" is "Omar Aziz" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Professora Maria do Carmo" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.