The race for second place in Acre's Senate election remains tightly contested between Marcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos), with traders assigning them the highest implied probabilities amid a field of eight candidates vying for two seats on October 4. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows Gladson Cameli (PP) leading overall at 24%, followed closely by Bittar at 21% and a statistical tie between Rocha and Jorge Viana (PT) at 15% each, reflecting how voters select two senators without party-list voting. Bittar's incumbency and coalition backing provide a modest edge in trader assessments, while Rocha benefits from her Republican alignment and prior federal deputy experience. Earlier summer surveys showed similar positioning among the top contenders, with limited late shifts reported as campaigns intensify in the final weeks. Outcomes hinge on turnout among key regional voting blocs and any final judicial rulings on candidacies still under review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 41.5%
Mara Rocha 36%
Gladson Camelí 9%
Jorge Viana 4.5%
$44,923 Vol.
$44,923 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
41%
Mara Rocha
36%
Gladson Camelí
9%
Jorge Viana
5%
Petecão
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Marcio Bittar 41.5%
Mara Rocha 36%
Gladson Camelí 9%
Jorge Viana 4.5%
$44,923 Vol.
$44,923 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$8,190 Vol.
41%
Mara Rocha
$17,882 Vol.
36%
Gladson Camelí
$13,406 Vol.
9%
Jorge Viana
$1,344 Vol.
5%
Petecão
$1,871 Vol.
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$738 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$786 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Acre's Senate election remains tightly contested between Marcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos), with traders assigning them the highest implied probabilities amid a field of eight candidates vying for two seats on October 4. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows Gladson Cameli (PP) leading overall at 24%, followed closely by Bittar at 21% and a statistical tie between Rocha and Jorge Viana (PT) at 15% each, reflecting how voters select two senators without party-list voting. Bittar's incumbency and coalition backing provide a modest edge in trader assessments, while Rocha benefits from her Republican alignment and prior federal deputy experience. Earlier summer surveys showed similar positioning among the top contenders, with limited late shifts reported as campaigns intensify in the final weeks. Outcomes hinge on turnout among key regional voting blocs and any final judicial rulings on candidacies still under review.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Volume
$44,923End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Acre's Senate election remains tightly contested between Marcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos), with traders assigning them the highest implied probabilities amid a field of eight candidates vying for two seats on October 4. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows Gladson Cameli (PP) leading overall at 24%, followed closely by Bittar at 21% and a statistical tie between Rocha and Jorge Viana (PT) at 15% each, reflecting how voters select two senators without party-list voting. Bittar's incumbency and coalition backing provide a modest edge in trader assessments, while Rocha benefits from her Republican alignment and prior federal deputy experience. Earlier summer surveys showed similar positioning among the top contenders, with limited late shifts reported as campaigns intensify in the final weeks. Outcomes hinge on turnout among key regional voting blocs and any final judicial rulings on candidacies still under review.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$44,923End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The race for second place in Acre's Senate election remains tightly contested between Marcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos), with traders assigning them the highest implied probabilities amid a field of eight candidates vying for two seats on October 4. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows Gladson Cameli (PP) leading overall at 24%, followed closely by Bittar at 21% and a statistical tie between Rocha and Jorge Viana (PT) at 15% each, reflecting how voters select two senators without party-list voting. Bittar's incumbency and coalition backing provide a modest edge in trader assessments, while Rocha benefits from her Republican alignment and prior federal deputy experience. Earlier summer surveys showed similar positioning among the top contenders, with limited late shifts reported as campaigns intensify in the final weeks. Outcomes hinge on turnout among key regional voting blocs and any final judicial rulings on candidacies still under review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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