Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí polling for the 2026 first round, reflecting the state's status as a core PT stronghold where he posted his strongest 2022 national results at 74% of valid votes. State-specific surveys from AtlasIntel and Datafolha through August show Lula at 60-65% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the mid-teens and other candidates in low single digits, supported by approval ratings near 67-77%. The president's September 9 visit to Teresina for infrastructure events and a rally with Governor Rafael Fonteles underscores ongoing base mobilization less than a month before voting. This regional pattern underpins the 98% trader consensus, though national campaign shifts or unexpected developments could still influence final margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLula 98.0%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$12,366 Vol.
$12,366 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
98%
Clariana Barao
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Zema
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%
Lula 98.0%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$12,366 Vol.
$12,366 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$7,398 Vol.
98%
Clariana Barao
$449 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$475 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$387 Vol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$397 Vol.
1%
Zema
$490 Vol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$465 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$381 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$461 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$383 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$372 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$301 Vol.
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$408 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí polling for the 2026 first round, reflecting the state's status as a core PT stronghold where he posted his strongest 2022 national results at 74% of valid votes. State-specific surveys from AtlasIntel and Datafolha through August show Lula at 60-65% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the mid-teens and other candidates in low single digits, supported by approval ratings near 67-77%. The president's September 9 visit to Teresina for infrastructure events and a rally with Governor Rafael Fonteles underscores ongoing base mobilization less than a month before voting. This regional pattern underpins the 98% trader consensus, though national campaign shifts or unexpected developments could still influence final margins.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volume
$12,366End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí polling for the 2026 first round, reflecting the state's status as a core PT stronghold where he posted his strongest 2022 national results at 74% of valid votes. State-specific surveys from AtlasIntel and Datafolha through August show Lula at 60-65% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the mid-teens and other candidates in low single digits, supported by approval ratings near 67-77%. The president's September 9 visit to Teresina for infrastructure events and a rally with Governor Rafael Fonteles underscores ongoing base mobilization less than a month before voting. This regional pattern underpins the 98% trader consensus, though national campaign shifts or unexpected developments could still influence final margins.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$12,366End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí polling for the 2026 first round, reflecting the state's status as a core PT stronghold where he posted his strongest 2022 national results at 74% of valid votes. State-specific surveys from AtlasIntel and Datafolha through August show Lula at 60-65% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the mid-teens and other candidates in low single digits, supported by approval ratings near 67-77%. The president's September 9 visit to Teresina for infrastructure events and a rally with Governor Rafael Fonteles underscores ongoing base mobilization less than a month before voting. This regional pattern underpins the 98% trader consensus, though national campaign shifts or unexpected developments could still influence final margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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