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2nd largest company end of March?

Market icon

2nd largest company end of March?

Apple 98.8%

Alphabet <1%

Microsoft <1%

NVIDIA <1%

Polymarket

$2,583,292 Vol.

Apple 98.8%

Alphabet <1%

Microsoft <1%

NVIDIA <1%

Polymarket

$2,583,292 Vol.

Market icon

Apple

$456,746 Vol.

99%

Market icon

Alphabet

$415,972 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Microsoft

$254,507 Vol.

<1%

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NVIDIA

$217,056 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Aramco

$193,657 Vol.

<1%

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Tesla

$815,787 Vol.

<1%

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Amazon

$229,629 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders price Apple at a 99% implied probability of remaining the world's second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026 close, reflecting its commanding $3.656 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.311 trillion by a $345 billion gap. This positioning stems from Apple's resilient share price amid quarter-end trading, with recent daily gains of 1.62% underscoring sustained investor confidence in its ecosystem dominance and services revenue growth, while challengers like Microsoft ($2.651T), Amazon ($2.139T), and Saudi Aramco ($1.740T) trail far behind. Alphabet briefly overtook Apple in January 2026 on AI momentum but has since lost ground; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented 10%+ Alphabet surge or Apple selloff from adverse regulatory news in the final trading days, though proximity to resolution favors status quo consensus.

Polymarket traders price Apple at a 99% implied probability of remaining the world's second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026 close, reflecting its commanding $3.656 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.311 trillion by a $345 billion gap. This positioning stems from Apple's resilient share price amid quarter-end trading, with recent daily gains of 1.62% underscoring sustained investor confidence in its ecosystem dominance and services revenue growth, while challengers like Microsoft ($2.651T), Amazon ($2.139T), and Saudi Aramco ($1.740T) trail far behind. Alphabet briefly overtook Apple in January 2026 on AI momentum but has since lost ground; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented 10%+ Alphabet surge or Apple selloff from adverse regulatory news in the final trading days, though proximity to resolution favors status quo consensus.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders price Apple at a 99% implied probability of remaining the world's second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026 close, reflecting its commanding $3.656 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.311 trillion by a $345 billion gap. This positioning stems from Apple's resilient share price amid quarter-end trading, with recent daily gains of 1.62% underscoring sustained investor confidence in its ecosystem dominance and services revenue growth, while challengers like Microsoft ($2.651T), Amazon ($2.139T), and Saudi Aramco ($1.740T) trail far behind. Alphabet briefly overtook Apple in January 2026 on AI momentum but has since lost ground; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented 10%+ Alphabet surge or Apple selloff from adverse regulatory news in the final trading days, though proximity to resolution favors status quo consensus.

Polymarket traders price Apple at a 99% implied probability of remaining the world's second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026 close, reflecting its commanding $3.656 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.311 trillion by a $345 billion gap. This positioning stems from Apple's resilient share price amid quarter-end trading, with recent daily gains of 1.62% underscoring sustained investor confidence in its ecosystem dominance and services revenue growth, while challengers like Microsoft ($2.651T), Amazon ($2.139T), and Saudi Aramco ($1.740T) trail far behind. Alphabet briefly overtook Apple in January 2026 on AI momentum but has since lost ground; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented 10%+ Alphabet surge or Apple selloff from adverse regulatory news in the final trading days, though proximity to resolution favors status quo consensus.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd largest company end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 99%, followed by "Alphabet" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd largest company end of March?" has generated $2.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd largest company end of March?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd largest company end of March?" is "Apple" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd largest company end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.