Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple as the second-largest company by market cap at April's end with a 59% implied probability, anchored by its current $2.9 trillion valuation trailing Microsoft's $3.2 trillion lead, despite a 4% weekly share price dip from weak China iPhone sales (down 18% year-over-year). Alphabet trails closely at 34% odds and $2.3 trillion market cap, fueled by 28% cloud revenue growth and AI momentum narrowing the gap by $100 billion in the past month. NVIDIA's 3% probability reflects post-earnings volatility after surging past $2.4 trillion briefly, while Microsoft, Tesla, and others face steeper climbs amid high valuations and sector rotations. Final trading sessions loom as key catalysts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedApple 59%
Alphabet 34%
NVIDIA 3.0%
Microsoft 2.8%
$286,817 Vol.
$286,817 Vol.

Apple
59%

Alphabet
34%

NVIDIA
3%

Microsoft
3%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Amazon
1%
Apple 59%
Alphabet 34%
NVIDIA 3.0%
Microsoft 2.8%
$286,817 Vol.
$286,817 Vol.

Apple
59%

Alphabet
34%

NVIDIA
3%

Microsoft
3%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Amazon
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple as the second-largest company by market cap at April's end with a 59% implied probability, anchored by its current $2.9 trillion valuation trailing Microsoft's $3.2 trillion lead, despite a 4% weekly share price dip from weak China iPhone sales (down 18% year-over-year). Alphabet trails closely at 34% odds and $2.3 trillion market cap, fueled by 28% cloud revenue growth and AI momentum narrowing the gap by $100 billion in the past month. NVIDIA's 3% probability reflects post-earnings volatility after surging past $2.4 trillion briefly, while Microsoft, Tesla, and others face steeper climbs amid high valuations and sector rotations. Final trading sessions loom as key catalysts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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