Market icon

2nd largest company end of April?

Market icon

2nd largest company end of April?

Apple 59%

Alphabet 34%

NVIDIA 3.0%

Microsoft 2.8%

Polymarket

$287,577 Vol.

Apple 59%

Alphabet 34%

NVIDIA 3.0%

Microsoft 2.8%

Polymarket

$287,577 Vol.

Market icon

Apple

$3,562 Vol.

59%

Market icon

Alphabet

$5,441 Vol.

34%

Market icon

NVIDIA

$179,683 Vol.

3%

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Microsoft

$89,112 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Tesla

$3,249 Vol.

1%

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Saudi Aramco

$3,246 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Amazon

$3,283 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$287,577
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket traders assign a 58.5% implied probability to Apple securing second-largest global market capitalization by end-April, reflecting its recent share price resilience and services revenue momentum that reclaimed the top-two spot from Nvidia amid the chipmaker's post-earnings valuation pullback. Alphabet follows at 34%, buoyed by robust Google Cloud expansion and advertising recovery in Q2 results, positioning it as a steady climber in the trillion-dollar club. Nvidia's odds dipped to 3% on cooling AI hype and elevated trading multiples nearing 50x forward earnings, while Microsoft (2.8%) faces headwinds from cloud competition; Tesla and Saudi Aramco lag on EV demand softness and stable-but-unexciting oil dynamics. Upcoming Q3 earnings and Fed rate path will be pivotal catalysts shaping these trajectories.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 59%, followed by "Alphabet" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd largest company end of April?" has generated $287.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd largest company end of April?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd largest company end of April?" is "Apple" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.